NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	3.2 [1141]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +17.0%
Golden State Warriors	118		Comeback	1.1 [632]		LVP	Darren Collison (LAC): -5.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.07	18	59%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	14	64%	0.10	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.07	4	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
JJ Redick	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	-0.00	0.03	20	70%	0.20	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	8	85%	0.14	4	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	65%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	13	50%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	7	94%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.6	41.3	18.6	28.1	3.5	34.4	156.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.6%

LAC -4.4%

GSW +2.9%

GSW +12.1%

GSW +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	14.7	15.1	102.1	122.9	105.2
season	14.3	14.2		111.0	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	12.1	17.4	17.8	15.5
GSW	11.0	14.0	16.9	18.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-21	21	13.2	15.7	-2.49	20.3	14.3	6.04
Danny Granger	30	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-26	31	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.1	14.5	0.63
Jared Dudley	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	18.5	15.4	3.14	22.7	14.3	8.43
Ryan Hollins	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	0.0	15.5	-15.49	30.0	14.5	15.49
Hedo Turkoglu	24	24	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-19	17	17.0	15.0	2.01	17.7	13.6	4.11
Glen Davis	26	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-25	29	16.9	15.0	1.97	13.1	15.2	-2.15
Darren Collison	39	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-20	19	14.1	16.5	-2.41	13.8	15.2	-1.36
Jamal Crawford	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-13	5	14.6	16.8	-2.25	14.2	15.3	-1.07
DeAndre Jordan	48	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	-3	-15	15.9	15.0	0.89	14.9	14.5	0.40
Chris Paul	59	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-4	-13	16.7	13.5	3.26	15.4	13.4	1.95
Matt Barnes	50	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	0	-21	15.2	15.8	-0.62	13.2	16.2	-2.98
JJ Redick	59	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.31	-26	5	-31	15.0	16.2	-1.22	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Blake Griffin	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	1	-23	15.2	16.4	-1.13	14.1	16.6	-2.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.41	33	-12	45	14.8	13.9	0.88	16.5	10.3	6.13
Stephen Curry	86	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-3	27	14.0	20.2	-6.18	15.4	15.9	-0.45
David Lee	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.35	30	-9	39	13.8	18.0	-4.21	15.5	15.4	0.09
Andre Iguodala	86	86	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.25	25	-4	29	14.2	18.7	-4.50	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Klay Thompson	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	9	3	14.0	15.7	-1.73	16.5	13.8	2.72
Harrison Barnes	50	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	11	-1	15.6	13.7	1.86	14.6	16.5	-1.86
Marreese Speights	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	22.7	14.3	8.43	15.2	15.5	-0.31
Ognjen Kuzmic	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	30.0	14.5	15.49	0.0	15.5	-15.49
Hilton Armstrong	7	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	28	-35	14.9	14.7	0.21	4.0	16.1	-12.13
Jermaine O'Neal	20	17	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.38	-15	36	-51	17.0	14.0	3.01	15.4	15.5	-0.17
Steve Blake	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	27	-33	18.4	14.1	4.30	13.9	15.7	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.86,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 86, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
TOR 97, MIL 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 84, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%