NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	5.8 [675]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (LAC): +11.9%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	2.2 [253]		LVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): -17.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	8	65%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	20	60%	0.16	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	12	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	8	48%	0.07	7	-0.24	11	27%	-0.13

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.11	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.13	0.00	0.08	20	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	11	91%	0.04
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	10	50%	-0.06
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	9	43%	-0.03	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	32.3	23.7	30.4	2.8	41.2	160.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.5%

UTA -1.6%

LAC +11.1%

UTA -18.0%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.8	14.8	110.1	102.2	107.7
season	15.0	16.1		110.8	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.1	16.0	12.1	16.9	15.2
UTA	15.2	19.0	17.2	15.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	53	54	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.16	19	-14	33	15.2	15.2	-0.05	17.1	16.4	0.74
DeAndre Jordan	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	6	-7	14.2	20.1	-5.86	16.8	16.6	0.20
Paul Pierce	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-5	15	14.2	16.0	-1.76	17.8	16.0	1.80
Austin Rivers	63	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	1	3	16.0	13.3	2.71	16.2	18.2	-2.02
Chris Paul	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	5	-5	14.3	19.0	-4.71	17.1	15.4	1.68
Raymond Felton	35	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	2	1	16.5	14.4	2.09	16.4	17.0	-0.62
Marreese Speights	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	-1	7	20.1	14.2	5.86	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Luc Mbah a Moute	53	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.25	-9	14	-23	15.7	14.5	1.16	16.8	16.8	0.06
JJ Redick	39	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	12	-19	14.8	15.5	-0.66	16.0	17.4	-1.41

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	25	27	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.16	13	-18	31	16.5	16.9	-0.37	16.7	14.5	2.17
Joe Ingles	59	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-17	29	16.7	17.0	-0.32	16.3	12.8	3.56
George Hill	62	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.40	8	-13	21	16.4	17.6	-1.17	15.5	14.5	0.99
Derrick Favors	26	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.8	17.6	-2.72	18.5	13.9	4.63
Rudy Gobert	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	1	-7	17.6	14.8	2.72	13.9	18.5	-4.63
Raul Neto	24	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	5	-15	17.5	16.6	0.91	14.4	15.5	-1.04
Gordon Hayward	81	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	16.6	18.7	-2.14	14.8	18.5	-3.73
Rodney Hood	47	44	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.07	-22	17	-39	17.5	16.0	1.44	14.3	16.0	-1.68
Joe Johnson	66	62	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.19	-18	13	-31	16.9	16.5	0.37	14.5	16.7	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
IND 103, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,0	94.1%