NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	6.0 [657]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +6.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	2.1 [376]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -9.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.06	19	50%	0.15	5	-0.09	4	25%	-0.02
Joe Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	4	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	17	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	68%	0.09	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	21	60%	0.09	6	-0.16	8	75%	-0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	18	50%	-0.03	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	0.3	40.8	1.7	27.4	2.4	36.9	138.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.8%

MIL -2.7%

IND +4.2%

IND +8.6%

IND +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	14.7	106.2	100.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.3		108.3	108.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	13.8	13.5	16.7	15.2
MIL	15.0	15.7	15.3	12.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	84	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	2	3	15.2	14.8	0.47	14.6	15.2	-0.67
Thaddeus Young	79	76	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	14.3	19.2	-4.97	14.6	14.8	-0.17
Lance Stephenson	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	1	5	16.0	14.2	1.78	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Glenn Robinson III	20	22	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	1	5	16.6	14.8	1.86	14.7	14.7	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	37	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.18	2	5	-3	15.6	14.9	0.77	14.3	14.9	-0.67
Myles Turner	63	59	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	5	-3	15.1	15.3	-0.23	14.8	14.4	0.38
Victor Oladipo	75	72	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	9	-11	14.3	18.0	-3.65	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Bojan Bogdanovic	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	1	5	15.2	15.2	0.03	15.3	13.7	1.57
Joe Young	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	5	-3	18.2	14.9	3.36	14.8	14.7	0.12
TJ Leaf	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	4	-1	17.2	15.0	2.26	14.8	14.7	0.12

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	74	74	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-11	15	14.5	15.2	-0.67	15.5	14.2	1.31
Eric Bledsoe	68	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-15	23	14.1	16.1	-2.03	16.0	12.8	3.18
John Henson	62	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.32	7	-14	21	14.4	15.2	-0.83	15.2	15.1	0.17
Thon Maker	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	13.4	14.8	-1.35	18.0	14.9	3.08
Tyler Zeller	25	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	1	-9	15.8	14.3	1.59	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Khris Middleton	80	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-7	7	14.6	14.9	-0.25	15.3	14.4	0.92
Sterling Brown	25	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	7	-21	15.8	14.3	1.53	12.4	16.1	-3.74
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	3	-13	14.8	13.8	0.98	14.9	17.8	-2.93
Jabari Parker	50	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	9	-25	15.0	14.3	0.78	15.2	15.2	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, UTA 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
LAC 98, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	94.1%
UTA 113, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%