NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	113		Excitement	4.9 [807]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +15.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	1.7 [404]		LVP	Eddie Jones (LAL): -16.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.16	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	21	70%	0.22	3	-0.06	11	82%	0.04
Greg Ostertag	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	77%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
John Stockton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	76%	0.03	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jamie Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	1	90%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	110%	0.07	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	13	59%	0.03	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rumeal Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Byron Scott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.07	-0.06	8	19%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	22	48%	-0.03	4	-0.09	10	40%	-0.04
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.05	0.02	19	42%	-0.04	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	25.6	27.8	28.4	2.6	30.2	144.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.7%

UTA +17.2%

LAL -4.9%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.6	121.5	104.3	104.4
season	15.6	15.3		110.8	105.8
opponent	15.7	16.0		101.5	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	13.2	13.0	17.7	14.7
LAL	17.3	16.8	17.6	13.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	39	39	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.05	18	-2	20	15.4	14.2	1.19	15.8	16.7	-0.87
Jeff Hornacek	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.06	14	2	12	14.3	15.4	-1.08	16.4	16.1	0.32
Bryon Russell	73	71	0.35	0.14	0.20	0.03	11	5	6	14.6	14.9	-0.30	16.2	16.6	-0.38
Karl Malone	69	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.03	10	6	4	14.4	15.5	-1.07	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Howard Eisley	19	19	0.28	0.21	0.06	0.04	8	8	0	15.5	14.4	1.08	16.9	16.1	0.75
John Stockton	74	74	0.21	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	8	0	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.1	16.9	-0.75
Shandon Anderson	32	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	14	-12	15.4	14.3	1.08	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Greg Ostertag	56	57	0.11	0.38	-0.26	-0.00	4	12	-8	13.8	16.0	-2.17	16.9	15.3	1.58
Chris Morris	17	18	0.11	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	11	-6	13.8	14.9	-1.10	16.7	16.2	0.45
Adam Keefe	9	10	0.08	0.41	-0.33	0.05	1	15	-14	18.0	14.3	3.69	16.3	16.3	-0.00
Greg Foster	14	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	15	-14	15.6	14.5	1.07	16.8	16.2	0.54
Jamie Watson	2	3	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	18	-20	23.5	14.5	9.03	9.7	16.5	-6.86

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	7	6	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-18	20	9.0	16.9	-7.90	19.7	14.3	5.34
Rumeal Robinson	12	11	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-19	22	9.7	17.3	-7.62	19.0	14.1	4.91
Byron Scott	33	33	-0.01	-0.48	0.47	-0.01	0	-16	16	17.6	15.6	2.07	12.5	15.9	-3.38
Corie Blount	19	20	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-9	2	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.1	14.5	0.62
Sean Rooks	17	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-12	8	13.1	17.0	-3.97	16.5	14.3	2.23
Kobe Bryant	39	39	-0.15	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-11	6	15.4	17.0	-1.62	16.2	13.5	2.69
Derek Fisher	21	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-8	0	15.1	16.7	-1.56	16.3	14.1	2.12
Nick Van Exel	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-8	0	16.7	15.1	1.56	14.1	16.3	-2.12
Eddie Jones	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-5	-6	17.2	11.9	5.29	14.2	17.3	-3.10
Shaquille O'Neal	77	78	-0.38	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-4	-8	16.6	14.7	1.87	14.3	16.8	-2.54
Elden Campbell	61	62	-0.39	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-4	-8	17.7	13.7	3.94	13.8	16.4	-2.58
Jerome Kersey	29	30	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	2	-20	15.5	16.7	-1.14	15.3	14.3	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 136, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAS 115, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%