NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	8.0 [262]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +26.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Comeback	1.2 [771]		LVP	Patrick Beverley (HOU): -18.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.2,0.26	0.23	0.06	0.02	21	73%	0.43	7	-0.17	18	100%	0.15
Lou Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.02	15	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	14	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	11	52%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Clint Capela	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Patrick Beverley	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	6	7%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17	0.17	-0.01	0.17	-0.01	5	40%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	13	77%	0.15	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	57%	0.02	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.08
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	24	52%	-0.00	5	-0.17	14	71%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	31.5	16.4	29.2	2.7	39.1	146.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +66.1%

HOU -33.8%

OKC +1.0%

OKC +12.9%

OKC +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.8	114.1	118.6	107.7
season	13.7	14.0		113.2	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.9		106.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	15.2	15.8	14.3	14.9
OKC	14.4	14.1	13.6	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.33	7	-9	16	12.5	16.1	-3.54	14.2	14.6	-0.33
Patrick Beverley	46	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	5	-12	15.9	14.1	1.76	14.7	14.2	0.40
Ryan Anderson	66	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-3	4	15.6	13.6	1.94	15.1	13.1	2.04
Lou Williams	65	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-6	10	14.2	16.4	-2.21	14.6	14.1	0.53
Clint Capela	46	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	13	-28	15.8	14.2	1.63	14.6	14.4	0.19
Eric Gordon	78	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.55	6	-8	14	14.2	17.8	-3.66	14.7	13.6	1.16
James Harden	80	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-3	4	15.1	14.1	1.02	14.1	15.7	-1.57
Trevor Ariza	82	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	5	-12	15.5	12.3	3.18	13.7	17.7	-3.95

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	70	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-7	16	14.3	14.9	-0.60	15.6	13.2	2.34
Russell Westbrook	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	13.9	16.5	-2.58	15.3	13.4	1.92
Steven Adams	52	55	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-4	10	13.6	15.4	-1.81	14.7	15.2	-0.41
Andre Roberson	78	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	14.1	15.9	-1.86	15.1	14.1	1.02
Doug McDermott	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	-1	4	15.4	14.0	1.43	13.0	15.9	-2.89
Jerami Grant	38	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.40	-7	9	-16	15.3	13.9	1.33	15.2	14.8	0.41
Enes Kanter	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	1	0	15.4	14.2	1.18	14.4	15.1	-0.67
Taj Gibson	58	57	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	3	-4	14.4	14.5	-0.14	15.9	13.6	2.32
Norris Cole	19	20	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	3	-4	16.5	13.9	2.58	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Alex Abrines	36	38	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	6	-10	14.6	14.4	0.21	13.8	15.6	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.48,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.86,0.71,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 106, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.74,1	93.8%
NYK 98, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.85,1	92.9%
OKC 98, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.97,1,1	92.8%