inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement3.5 [1120] MVPZach Randolph (MEM): +21.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 105 Comeback1.7 [414] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -9.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.01-0.001169%0.121-0.014100%0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0.060,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.02862%0.061-0.011060%-0.03
Kyle Anderson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.100.010.06788%0.082-0.03367%-0.01
Patty Mills0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.01-0.01869%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Danny Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.04933%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02180%0.001-0.00367%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05475%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonathon Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.06-0.010.08583%-0.021-0.0020%-0.04
David Lee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.0430%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01927%-0.0600.00450%-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00150%0.002-0.0720%0.00
Tony Parker-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0140%-0.061-0.0400%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.130.03-0.051662%0.2100.002100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.01-0.001466%0.141-0.03475%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.010.071371%0.112-0.038100%0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Wayne Selden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.02956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.040.01-0.06636%0.0310.002100%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.02757%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Ennis III0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.06675%0.0110.00475%-0.00
Troy Daniels00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarell Martin00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wade Baldwin IV00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Deyonta Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.727.218.430.23.735.3145.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +36.7%
MEM +8.9%
SAS -5.8%
MEM +13.9%
SAS -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game16.218.114.8111.9125.0107.7
season15.416.1110.1106.4
opponent14.914.8106.7103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.719.217.411.916.2
MEM16.819.816.120.018.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dejounte Murray1414-0.00-0.500.50-0.3211-223311.617.1-5.5019.417.91.56
Davis Bertans2223-0.02-0.480.46-0.227-182511.917.7-5.8120.017.42.51
Kyle Anderson3233-0.13-0.370.24-0.223-141714.517.2-2.6218.118.1-0.02
Manu Ginobili1717-0.14-0.360.220.07-7-4-317.015.91.0617.918.2-0.31
Dewayne Dedmon1920-0.14-0.360.22-0.326-172313.317.0-3.6718.018.2-0.11
Jonathon Simmons3030-0.14-0.360.21-0.202-131513.317.7-4.3918.517.90.52
David Lee2829-0.20-0.300.110.07-9-2-715.616.4-0.8817.718.4-0.73
Tony Parker3332-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-5-118.814.44.3917.218.7-1.57
Kawhi Leonard5251-0.25-0.250.01-0.04-7-4-317.613.83.8318.817.11.76
Patty Mills3738-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-165-2115.516.7-1.1518.517.80.63
Pau Gasol4544-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-121-1319.012.96.1317.918.4-0.56
LaMarcus Aldridge5352-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-121-1317.114.62.4417.818.6-0.75
Danny Green3837-0.35-0.15-0.210.09-154-1917.115.41.6917.019.0-1.97

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Selden49480.52-0.020.550.201101118.717.41.3015.517.0-1.48
Mike Conley60590.430.070.36-0.1620-92918.716.71.9316.415.60.85
Marc Gasol62620.420.080.340.101101117.918.9-1.0516.914.02.92
Vince Carter63630.370.130.230.07101918.516.91.6316.216.00.27
JaMychal Green40400.310.190.11-0.1917-62318.318.00.3716.815.51.33
Zach Randolph52520.260.240.010.1156-118.517.60.9216.315.90.35
Andrew Harrison43440.190.31-0.120.1329-717.319.0-1.7916.216.00.20
Troy Daniels010.010.49-0.47-0.0429-70.018.1-18.135.016.3-11.29
Jarell Martin540.000.50-0.500.21-718-2515.018.3-3.335.016.7-11.71
Wade Baldwin IV760.000.50-0.500.26-920-2915.918.3-2.4810.516.6-6.09
Deyonta Davis550.000.50-0.500.21-718-2515.018.3-3.338.816.6-7.82
James Ennis III3436-0.010.51-0.52-0.01011-1117.918.3-0.4717.615.12.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 98, ATL 1120.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
CHI 108, DET 1310.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.42,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
IND 107, MIL 1250.5,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.93,1,1,1,195.3%