NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	6.6 [520]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +23.9%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	9.3 [209]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): -34.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	19	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	20	58%	0.14	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.13	-0.22	-0.01	6	43%	-0.09	6	-0.25	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.17	0.01	20	56%	0.29	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.06
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	9	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	44%	0.06	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	20	39%	-0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.0	38.0	17.8	29.0	2.8	36.0	151.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +5.9%

GSW +19.9%

GSW +5.7%

GSW +21.4%

POR -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	14.5	14.9	98.0	108.9	105.1
season	15.0	13.7		107.1	112.3
opponent	15.1	14.6		102.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.9	13.2	14.8	15.0	14.0
GSW	17.6	13.5	12.9	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-12	13	14.2	13.9	0.22	13.0	14.7	-1.73
Allen Crabbe	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	-3	-5	15.6	12.8	2.80	12.5	16.0	-3.50
Ed Davis	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-7	3	16.4	12.9	3.53	12.5	15.5	-2.97
Gerald Henderson	57	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.14	-8	-3	-5	14.7	13.0	1.64	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Mason Plumlee	59	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.31	5	-16	21	13.0	15.3	-2.29	16.0	12.6	3.38
Al-Farouq Aminu	78	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-9	7	13.4	15.9	-2.46	14.8	13.5	1.39
Damian Lillard	84	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	-1	-9	13.8	14.6	-0.74	14.7	13.8	0.94
CJ McCollum	85	84	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.21	-14	3	-17	13.7	15.4	-1.74	15.2	11.4	3.84
Maurice Harkless	58	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.32	-15	4	-19	13.1	15.2	-2.16	14.8	14.1	0.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	86	86	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.18	19	-8	27	15.0	11.9	3.07	13.6	15.9	-2.23
Festus Ezeli	27	26	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-2	15	12.7	15.2	-2.51	16.3	13.2	3.15
Shaun Livingston	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-2	15	15.0	13.5	1.58	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Klay Thompson	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.22	9	2	7	14.6	14.1	0.58	13.5	16.4	-2.86
Harrison Barnes	71	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	7	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.6	14.7	-1.07
Andre Iguodala	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	0	11	14.1	15.3	-1.22	14.2	13.4	0.86
Ian Clark	24	25	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.15	12	-1	13	13.5	14.9	-1.42	15.5	13.5	2.01
Anderson Varejao	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	13	-15	15.0	14.5	0.49	15.5	13.9	1.63
Marreese Speights	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	15	-19	13.8	14.6	-0.84	14.7	13.9	0.81
Leandro Barbosa	28	29	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.04	-7	18	-25	13.0	15.1	-2.09	14.4	13.8	0.62
Andrew Bogut	33	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	24	-37	17.1	13.3	3.83	13.2	14.4	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 97, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.83,0.91,0.96,1	92.4%
POR 111, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.87,1	91.1%
DAL 85, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.54,0.79,0.9,1,1	91.0%