NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	7.4 [390]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +34.3%
Indiana Pacers	118		Comeback	8.1 [121]		LVP	Rodney Stuckey (IND): -15.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.20	0.14	-0.00	22	72%	0.40	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.04	0.12	-0.04	0.04	24	58%	0.13	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.02	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	6	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.16	0.20	0.03	27	61%	0.38	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.02	0.02	13	92%	0.28	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.01	8	70%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	3	77%	0.07	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	48%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	56%	0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	6	23%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	5	43%	-0.02	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	28.5	16.6	24.5	2.7	34.6	133.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.3%

IND +13.0%

IND +8.8%

IND +16.4%

POR -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	14.8	114.4	118.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		108.6	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.5		108.0	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.2	15.3	16.3	13.9	14.9
IND	14.6	12.5	14.4	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	15	15	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.01	2	-9	11	13.9	15.1	-1.21	13.0	14.6	-1.60
Ed Davis	67	68	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-9	11	15.3	14.0	1.33	14.7	13.6	1.08
Mason Plumlee	54	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-11	15	14.9	14.8	0.13	13.9	15.0	-1.10
Damian Lillard	74	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-6	5	14.8	15.1	-0.26	13.9	15.8	-1.87
Meyers Leonard	43	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	4	-15	14.8	14.9	-0.13	15.3	13.6	1.69
Allen Crabbe	50	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.04	-14	7	-21	14.7	15.1	-0.39	14.7	14.0	0.71
Evan Turner	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.1	14.7	0.45	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Maurice Harkless	63	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-6	5	14.7	15.3	-0.63	14.5	14.1	0.38
CJ McCollum	77	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	-2	-3	14.9	14.6	0.30	14.4	14.2	0.23

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	82	78	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.48	12	-5	17	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.3	13.4	1.89
Rodney Stuckey	55	54	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-5	17	15.5	13.0	2.47	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Jeff Teague	63	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	13.1	16.5	-3.42	15.0	14.7	0.31
Myles Turner	69	66	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-3	13	13.9	15.3	-1.40	15.2	14.2	0.97
Paul George	75	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	14.1	15.3	-1.23	14.9	14.9	0.02
Aaron Brooks	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.13	2	5	-3	16.0	13.8	2.25	14.9	14.9	-0.00
CJ Miles	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	7	-7	15.8	13.8	2.03	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Monta Ellis	39	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	13.7	14.8	-1.09	15.1	14.7	0.40
Al Jefferson	31	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	10	-13	15.3	13.9	1.40	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Glenn Robinson	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	15	-23	13.7	14.7	-0.94	15.3	14.7	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 90, SAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.62,0.84,0.84,0.98,1	91.6%
TOR 108, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.95,1	91.3%
POR 99, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.84,0.99,1,1	91.1%