NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Excitement	5.0 [799]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +28.3%
Atlanta Hawks	89		Comeback	2.0 [456]		LVP	Paul Millsap (ATL): -13.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.23	0.06	0.00	16	87%	0.33	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.02
LeBron James	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	26	52%	0.14	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	7	22%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.02	0.04	5	77%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	12	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	24	52%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Pero Antic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	10	27%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	11	41%	-0.03	3	-0.11	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	3.0	29.1	17.7	31.3	3.0	45.1	155.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +34.8%

ATL -5.1%

CLE +13.5%

CLE +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	17.6	14.1	15.1	106.6	97.8	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		108.7	106.7
opponent	15.4	14.9		101.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.8	16.0	17.5	19.2	17.6
ATL	15.7	14.0	14.6	12.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	81	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	17.6	17.2	0.44	14.2	13.4	0.74
Matthew Dellavedova	48	48	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.19	10	-2	12	16.4	19.0	-2.58	13.5	14.7	-1.22
J.R. Smith	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	0	8	17.3	18.6	-1.33	13.5	15.9	-2.34
James Jones	25	26	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	-3	14	17.0	17.8	-0.87	15.8	13.4	2.40
LeBron James	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	5	-2	17.7	17.2	0.55	14.0	14.1	-0.06
Iman Shumpert	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	6	-4	18.2	16.2	1.95	13.8	14.6	-0.76
Kyrie Irving	51	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	6	-4	18.1	16.9	1.15	14.6	13.3	1.35
Timofey Mozgov	44	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	12	-16	18.1	17.1	0.92	14.0	14.1	-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	71	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-10	12	13.4	16.5	-3.20	18.7	14.0	4.73
Jeff Teague	73	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-10	12	13.7	15.6	-1.87	18.4	14.1	4.27
Paul Millsap	70	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-12	16	14.2	13.5	0.75	17.7	17.2	0.55
Mike Muscala	22	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.09	-12	4	-16	14.5	13.9	0.65	15.7	18.2	-2.52
DeMarre Carroll	64	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	14.5	13.1	1.34	17.2	18.5	-1.31
Kent Bazemore	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	13.1	14.6	-1.53	17.0	17.9	-0.96
Kyle Korver	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-1	-6	13.7	15.2	-1.55	18.2	15.6	2.57
Pero Antic	19	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	2	-12	15.5	13.7	1.79	15.2	18.2	-2.96
Dennis Schroder	35	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	5	-18	15.7	13.0	2.74	16.0	18.6	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHI 88, POR 60	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
TOR 125, NOP 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.1%