NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	7.5 [324]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +57.5%
Washington Wizards	92		Comeback	17.4 [43]		LVP	David West (IND): -19.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.57	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.57	0.30	0.30	0.02	20	78%	0.61	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.10
Roy Hibbert	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	-0.00	12	55%	0.25	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.02
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
CJ Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.12	0.04	12	47%	-0.12	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	14	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.04
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	11	67%	0.11	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.01,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	11	46%	0.09	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	14	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	33.4	19.4	27.2	3.5	54.2	164.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.9%

IND +13.7%

IND +12.5%

WAS -1.5%

WAS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.1	102.2	101.1	105.2
season	15.8	15.1		102.7	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.8	16.0	15.7	16.1	16.4
WAS	13.5	13.4	16.4	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	72	70	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-15	33	16.3	16.5	-0.20	15.3	13.8	1.45
Roy Hibbert	71	71	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.46	16	-13	29	16.8	14.8	2.03	15.6	12.3	3.30
Lance Stephenson	77	76	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-12	27	16.5	15.7	0.82	15.2	13.4	1.82
David West	83	82	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-12	27	16.3	16.5	-0.15	15.3	11.3	3.98
Paul George	89	87	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	3	-3	16.6	11.5	5.08	15.2	8.7	6.46
Ian Mahinmi	12	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	10	-17	15.2	16.5	-1.28	11.1	15.5	-4.42
Evan Turner	20	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	12	-21	14.8	16.8	-1.93	12.4	15.6	-3.16
CJ Watson	21	21	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.02	-15	18	-33	16.5	16.3	0.20	13.8	15.3	-1.45
Luis Scola	20	17	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	0.03	-18	21	-39	15.4	16.6	-1.23	12.7	15.4	-2.73

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	29	30	0.59	-1.09	1.68	0.06	18	-21	39	14.4	15.2	-0.80	17.6	15.8	1.77
Martell Webster	40	41	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.04	7	-10	17	13.8	15.8	-1.91	16.8	16.0	0.79
Al Harrington	43	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-11	19	14.7	15.1	-0.34	16.5	16.2	0.31
Garrett Temple	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-2	1	0.0	14.9	-14.92	1.0	16.5	-15.53
Bradley Beal	78	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.40	9	-12	21	15.3	12.8	2.42	16.7	14.2	2.48
Marcin Gortat	40	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.17	-11	8	-19	14.6	15.1	-0.49	17.1	15.8	1.27
Drew Gooden	53	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-8	13	14.7	15.2	-0.45	16.5	16.1	0.38
Nene	46	48	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.43	-7	4	-11	15.5	14.3	1.25	15.7	17.0	-1.27
John Wall	62	63	-1.09	0.59	-1.68	-0.48	-21	18	-39	15.2	14.4	0.80	15.8	17.6	-1.77
Trevor Ariza	64	65	-1.11	0.61	-1.72	-0.47	-22	19	-41	15.2	14.3	0.84	15.7	18.0	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.82,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.53,0.64,0.31,0.08,0	89.4%
DEN 107, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.54,0.45,0.08,0	89.2%
LAC 106, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.68,0.09,0	88.6%