NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	104		Excitement	2.8 [1201]		MVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): +8.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.1 [869]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	9	89%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.02	0.05	23	59%	0.10	3	-0.05	15	93%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.07	21	52%	0.09	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	6	54%	0.05	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Franklin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	9	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	10	23%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	3.3	34.3	18.4	34.5	3.5	32.3	150.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +35.7%

OKC +7.7%

OKC +5.4%

OKC +0.3%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.1	113.0	91.3	105.2
season	14.4	16.4		107.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.0	13.5	15.0	17.6	15.0
MEM	17.3	19.2	15.0	13.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	83	84	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.22	27	-7	34	14.8	17.4	-2.67	16.1	17.6	-1.48
Russell Westbrook	76	78	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-1	22	14.9	15.7	-0.79	15.9	18.5	-2.63
Serge Ibaka	58	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	1	18	14.0	16.7	-2.70	16.5	15.9	0.67
Caron Butler	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	7	6	14.5	15.8	-1.30	17.6	14.4	3.15
Reggie Jackson	55	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	8	4	14.9	15.3	-0.40	15.9	16.8	-0.92
Kendrick Perkins	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	14	-8	15.3	14.9	0.40	16.8	15.9	0.92
Steven Adams	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	18	-16	16.5	14.0	2.48	15.7	16.7	-0.96
Nick Collison	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	19	-18	13.9	15.2	-1.29	19.0	15.8	3.18
Derek Fisher	36	36	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	19	-18	16.2	14.3	1.86	14.9	17.2	-2.32
Jeremy Lamb	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	18.8	14.8	3.98	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Perry Jones	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	21	-22	18.8	14.8	3.98	15.5	16.3	-0.81

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	12	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-23	26	18.4	15.9	2.47	15.8	14.9	0.89
Jon Leuer	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	15.5	16.3	-0.81	18.8	14.8	3.98
Jamaal Franklin	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	15.5	16.3	-0.81	18.8	14.8	3.98
Ed Davis	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-20	20	33.0	15.7	17.29	17.3	15.0	2.38
Beno Udrih	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-21	22	15.3	16.9	-1.63	16.1	14.3	1.87
James Johnson	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-20	20	13.6	18.1	-4.43	16.4	14.2	2.23
Tayshaun Prince	29	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.14	-12	-8	-4	17.4	15.7	1.72	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Courtney Lee	37	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-11	2	18.9	14.5	4.38	15.2	14.9	0.34
Mike Miller	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-9	-2	15.7	16.9	-1.24	14.5	15.6	-1.03
Tony Allen	57	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-9	-2	15.6	17.4	-1.82	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Marc Gasol	66	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	-3	-14	16.0	16.9	-0.85	14.2	16.9	-2.73
Mike Conley	55	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	1	-22	16.7	15.6	1.04	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Zach Randolph	69	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.22	-25	5	-30	16.2	16.5	-0.33	14.8	15.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
IND 117, SAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
POR 112, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%