NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	3.0 [1183]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors	89		Comeback	1.0 [812]		LVP	Amir Johnson (TOR): -6.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.22	0.00	0.09	8	96%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.05	10	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.06	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	6	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	18	62%	0.03	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	7	57%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	25.9	14.0	24.1	2.4	27.3	119.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +52.1%

ATL +0.5%

TOR -16.4%

ATL +13.3%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.1	122.2	97.8	104.2
season	14.9	15.6		106.7	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.4		106.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	13.6	17.3	15.7	15.1
TOR	16.8	17.7	15.4	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.35	28	-7	35	14.0	16.7	-2.67	17.6	15.5	2.11
Paul Millsap	64	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.39	29	-8	37	14.2	17.3	-3.15	16.5	17.4	-0.96
DeMarre Carroll	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.12	20	1	19	14.7	15.8	-1.08	16.8	16.6	0.28
Jeff Teague	49	51	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.21	23	-2	25	13.8	16.6	-2.79	16.6	16.9	-0.23
Al Horford	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	-2	25	14.3	16.1	-1.80	17.7	15.4	2.28
Thabo Sefolosha	30	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	15	-9	16.4	14.4	2.00	16.2	17.1	-0.86
Pero Antic	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	21	-21	16.1	14.5	1.62	14.8	17.7	-2.94
Dennis Schroder	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	22	-23	15.9	14.6	1.28	17.3	16.4	0.87
Mike Scott	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	26	-31	16.8	14.5	2.32	18.2	16.3	1.94
Elton Brand	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	19.5	14.6	4.87	14.9	16.9	-2.05
Mike Muscala	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	26	-31	17.5	14.7	2.72	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Shelvin Mack	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	19.5	14.6	4.87	14.9	16.9	-2.05
Kent Bazemore	29	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	30	-39	15.2	15.0	0.21	16.0	17.1	-1.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-27	33	17.6	16.4	1.24	15.9	14.7	1.15
Greivis Vasquez	40	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-23	25	16.2	17.2	-0.98	15.2	14.9	0.29
Lou Williams	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	-15	9	17.0	16.5	0.49	15.6	14.7	0.88
Patrick Patterson	34	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-20	19	16.9	16.7	0.17	17.3	13.6	3.72
James Johnson	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-21	21	16.5	17.0	-0.51	16.2	13.8	2.41
Terrence Ross	51	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	-4	-13	16.7	16.7	-0.00	14.3	16.0	-1.67
Amir Johnson	46	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	3	-27	16.7	16.8	-0.15	13.3	17.0	-3.69
Jonas Valanciunas	46	44	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	-4	-13	16.7	16.8	-0.10	14.3	15.8	-1.51
DeMar DeRozan	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.31	-27	6	-33	17.3	15.6	1.75	14.3	16.7	-2.44
Kyle Lowry	60	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	0	-21	16.2	17.8	-1.66	15.4	14.4	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, MEM 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIN 107, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
OKC 97, PHX 69	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%