NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Excitement	7.7 [303]		MVP	Tony Allen (MEM): +16.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	2.2 [445]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -26.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.12	-0.03	0.12	-0.03	26	47%	0.34	4	-0.23	12	67%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	3	87%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.06	3	78%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.22,-0.27	-0.09	-0.14	0.03	27	45%	-0.07	5	-0.20	13	77%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.14	-0.02	15	53%	0.20	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	-0.00	14	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.13,-0.13,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.03	14	67%	0.22	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	86%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.03	-0.01	20	34%	-0.03	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.3	3.3	28.4	19.4	28.4	2.8	38.2	2.5	20.6	172.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +54.6%

OKC -24.3%

OKC -4.4%

MEM +22.5%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.5	18.5	15.1	95.0	99.0	105.2
season	14.4	16.4		107.8	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	11.7	15.0	14.5	12.9	14.2	13.5
MEM	18.3	19.3	18.3	19.9	14.4	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	63	62	0.28	-0.78	1.05	-0.02	10	-13	23	12.7	14.9	-2.13	20.3	15.4	4.88
Thabo Sefolosha	58	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-15	27	12.3	15.2	-2.84	19.0	17.7	1.33
Kendrick Perkins	64	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.43	9	-12	21	12.5	15.4	-2.96	19.0	17.3	1.74
Reggie Jackson	33	32	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	7	-17	15.8	12.4	3.48	18.1	18.7	-0.59
Nick Collison	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	7	-17	15.6	12.5	3.10	16.3	19.4	-3.12
Derek Fisher	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	5	-13	15.6	12.7	2.91	17.1	19.0	-1.84
Caron Butler	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	10	-23	15.5	12.2	3.34	17.6	19.0	-1.37
Russell Westbrook	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	12.6	16.4	-3.76	18.4	18.6	-0.21
Kevin Durant	93	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-2	1	13.1	18.7	-5.59	18.6	16.8	1.74

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	83	84	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.36	3	0	3	18.6	17.6	1.00	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Tony Allen	59	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.43	-1	4	-5	17.1	20.5	-3.50	14.6	11.9	2.66
Courtney Lee	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	0	3	18.0	19.5	-1.53	12.7	15.4	-2.69
Mike Conley	74	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	2	-1	18.5	18.4	0.09	12.5	16.9	-4.41
Kosta Koufos	34	31	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-6	15	16.9	19.3	-2.41	15.1	12.8	2.33
Marc Gasol	72	75	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.41	-7	10	-17	19.3	16.3	2.98	13.1	14.9	-1.87
Tayshaun Prince	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	-1	5	20.4	17.0	3.37	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Beno Udrih	26	24	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.11	2	1	1	18.2	18.6	-0.42	16.2	12.7	3.59
Mike Miller	35	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	2	-1	19.1	18.1	0.96	14.2	13.2	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 116, MEM 126	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,1	93.7%
CHI 108, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	91.8%
HOU 101, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,0.93,0.94,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.84,1	91.7%