inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Excitement4.5 [917] MVPSerge Ibaka (OKC): +19.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 100 Comeback1.0 [1172] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -11.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00757%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.05-0.03625%0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.02-0.011252%0.072-0.031100%0.01
Jon Leuer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Ed Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02350%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01425%-0.0400.00425%-0.02
Mike Conley-0.070,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.040.031546%-0.031-0.04580%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.011937%-0.071-0.04540%-0.04
Zach Randolph-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.020.012139%-0.081-0.041258%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.070.01881%0.211-0.015100%0.03
Kevin Durant0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.040.032559%0.183-0.09667%-0.03
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.01756%0.0600.002100%0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01350%0.0400.002100%0.02
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01550%0.0300.00887%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.031100%0.023-0.0300%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011951%0.025-0.067100%0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01621%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.63.035.517.031.23.537.2156.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +33.1%
OKC +22.6%
MEM -8.1%
MEM -1.4%
OKC +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMOKCNBAMEMOKCNBA
this game15.614.115.187.8104.2105.2
season16.414.4104.5107.8
opponent15.415.2102.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.614.515.415.815.6
OKC12.213.118.113.714.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jon Leuer220.00-0.500.50-0.031-15169.015.7-6.6914.014.1-0.13
Ed Davis97-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-11816.715.41.2314.114.10.02
Kosta Koufos1312-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-10613.215.9-2.6812.714.3-1.67
James Johnson1414-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-8214.015.8-1.8112.014.5-2.49
Tony Allen7067-0.15-0.350.20-0.419-233214.618.0-3.3814.413.50.92
Zach Randolph7777-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-121015.515.7-0.1514.512.71.80
Tayshaun Prince88-0.18-0.320.130.14-11-3-820.215.15.1213.114.2-1.09
Courtney Lee5757-0.20-0.300.10-0.14-2-121015.915.00.8615.112.62.50
Beno Udrih3330-0.24-0.260.01-0.07-6-8214.416.1-1.7013.314.5-1.25
Mike Conley7677-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-10-4-616.113.52.5914.512.61.86
Mike Miller4140-0.49-0.01-0.480.12-217-2816.215.11.1912.715.1-2.36
Marc Gasol9089-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.06-151-1615.911.64.2814.213.60.60

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler63640.470.030.44-0.0618-42214.114.10.0115.316.1-0.78
Reggie Jackson48520.450.050.410.1995413.215.0-1.7914.716.5-1.75
Serge Ibaka68670.390.110.270.1295414.712.71.9915.815.00.76
Kevin Durant86860.380.120.250.08104614.213.30.9215.913.12.81
Derek Fisher25260.360.140.22-0.0815-11612.614.7-2.0615.715.50.19
Nick Collison39400.220.28-0.05-0.0495414.413.90.4815.215.8-0.51
Russell Westbrook65650.140.36-0.21-0.0368-214.513.31.2815.815.00.83
Steven Adams24270.080.42-0.340.02212-1013.114.5-1.3914.615.9-1.27
Hasheem Thabeet10100.020.48-0.460.08-216-1813.614.2-0.599.516.2-6.74
Kendrick Perkins30300.010.49-0.480.01014-1414.913.81.1317.714.63.15
Jeremy Lamb220.000.50-0.500.03-115-1614.014.1-0.139.015.7-6.69
Thabo Sefolosha2021-0.020.52-0.550.12-519-2414.214.10.1617.315.12.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, PHI 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,1,194.1%
CHH 79, NYK 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,193.6%
ORL 103, CHA 1170.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.88,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,193.5%