inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 103 Excitement4.5 [940] MVPAl Jefferson (CHA): +19.1%
Charlotte Hornets 117 Comeback1.0 [1082] LVPJorge Gutierrez (CHA): -11.1%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.050.031758%0.1100.00475%-0.00
Mario Hezonja0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.000.070.001140%0.0600.003100%0.02
Evan Fournier0.040,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.12-0.010.071473%0.082-0.042100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.08-0.020.031361%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.032100%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Jason Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.01743%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.03267%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.01844%0.002-0.0300%0.00
CJ Watson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.01-0.020.03564%-0.012-0.041100%0.00
Devyn Marble-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.02614%-0.0800.0020%-0.06
Elfrid Payton-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.100.00-0.02517%-0.052-0.0420%-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.190.020.031572%0.1900.00667%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.06-0.02367%0.131-0.02667%0.03
Marvin Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.025100%0.1000.001100%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.030.056100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Aaron Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.04-0.01375%0.0900.00250%0.00
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.06-0.00-0.01972%0.102-0.0400%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01771%0.061-0.0100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.02-0.011060%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02939%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Frank Kaminsky0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.00525%-0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Jorge Gutierrez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.040.03633%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.42.424.414.625.02.428.5117.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +50.2%
CHA +0.6%
CHA +0.5%
ORL -2.8%
CHA +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLCHANBAORLCHANBA
this game13.214.914.9100.0114.7105.1
season14.615.1103.6105.5
opponent14.814.9103.6105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.213.112.313.213.2
CHA14.615.216.013.914.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Nicholson99-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-11810.813.5-2.6813.215.0-1.82
Shabazz Napier99-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-11810.813.5-2.6813.215.0-1.82
Dewayne Dedmon2726-0.06-0.440.370.02-3-11812.613.4-0.8514.015.2-1.24
Nikola Vucevic4342-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-11813.413.10.3015.914.21.74
Devyn Marble4745-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-11812.214.1-1.8214.615.1-0.58
Elfrid Payton5251-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-9413.612.90.7115.414.41.06
Aaron Gordon5451-0.23-0.270.04-0.230-141413.013.5-0.5115.014.80.20
Ersan Ilyasova4042-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-3-814.112.71.4315.114.70.40
CJ Watson4242-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.16-6-8213.313.20.1514.615.1-0.49
Jason Smith3334-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.11-8-6-213.513.10.4314.315.2-0.84
Evan Fournier6969-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-12-2-1013.712.21.5215.014.70.32
Mario Hezonja9090-0.500.00-0.50-0.12-13-1-1213.412.31.0515.014.20.72

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kemba Walker37370.350.150.21-0.1116-21814.615.0-0.4114.212.71.55
Courtney Lee30290.300.200.10-0.081311214.615.0-0.4014.612.71.85
Troy Daniels58580.250.250.000.16311-814.914.80.1113.213.20.04
Marvin Williams21200.240.26-0.01-0.111221015.014.90.0914.113.01.09
Jorge Gutierrez38380.230.27-0.040.0668-214.415.1-0.6913.313.20.19
Tyler Hansbrough27260.220.28-0.060.0277013.915.2-1.3013.213.20.01
Jeremy Lin45450.160.34-0.180.0159-415.314.50.7712.913.5-0.55
Aaron Harrison35350.160.34-0.180.07311-814.115.3-1.1312.813.4-0.60
Spencer Hawes39390.150.35-0.210.23-317-2014.215.3-1.1013.313.20.18
Cody Zeller27270.140.36-0.21-0.0368-215.014.80.2113.413.20.25
Al Jefferson48500.130.37-0.230.11113-1215.314.50.8513.113.3-0.20
Frank Kaminsky42440.110.39-0.28-0.0459-415.514.51.0112.713.6-0.87
Jeremy Lamb63670.050.45-0.410.16-418-2215.513.91.5912.414.7-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.8,0.81,0.96,0.88,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 86, PHI 970.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,1,194.6%
SAS 104, PHX 1160.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.0%
NYK 98, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,193.9%