NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	7.1 [404]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): +18.7%
Chicago Bulls	93		Comeback	6.4 [110]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHI): -18.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	8	82%	0.22	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Andre Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	7	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	17	62%	0.17	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.01	10	62%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
John Wall	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	42%	-0.05	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.03
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.00	6	71%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	16	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.05	0.04	12	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.08
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	15	40%	-0.10	3	-0.09	10	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.0	36.0	18.6	25.5	3.4	40.4	152.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.2%

WAS +1.2%

WAS +11.7%

CHI -6.5%

WAS +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	17.1	15.1	115.9	103.3	105.2
season	15.1	16.3		103.8	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	16.0	15.0	15.2	15.2
CHI	18.9	15.3	19.2	15.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-1	11	15.0	15.9	-0.89	17.7	15.3	2.37
Bradley Beal	76	78	0.56	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	15.5	13.2	2.29	17.0	17.6	-0.54
Nene	64	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	2	5	15.7	14.0	1.63	17.2	16.9	0.27
Trevor Ariza	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-1	11	15.2	15.4	-0.18	17.8	15.0	2.82
John Wall	62	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-2	13	14.9	16.1	-1.21	17.7	15.5	2.20
Andre Miller	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	15.8	15.0	0.79	15.0	18.0	-3.02
Trevor Booker	36	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	16.0	14.7	1.31	17.0	17.2	-0.18
Garrett Temple	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	0.0	15.2	-15.23	9.0	17.2	-8.20
Drew Gooden	5	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	10	-11	11.6	15.4	-3.85	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Martell Webster	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	12	-15	14.5	15.6	-1.05	15.9	17.8	-1.90
Al Harrington	3	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	12	-15	9.7	15.4	-5.76	15.2	17.2	-1.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	24	22	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.03	8	-17	25	15.3	17.8	-2.42	16.0	15.0	1.03
Nazr Mohammed	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-8	7	19.7	17.0	2.76	17.2	15.1	2.12
Mike Dunleavy	48	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-4	-1	18.8	15.2	3.65	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	42	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-4	-1	19.1	15.4	3.68	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Taj Gibson	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-9	9	15.7	19.6	-3.90	15.2	15.3	-0.18
D.J. Augustin	62	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-6	3	15.9	19.7	-3.83	14.9	15.8	-0.87
Joakim Noah	76	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	3	-15	16.9	18.0	-1.05	15.4	14.5	0.92
Kirk Hinrich	54	52	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.26	-12	3	-15	17.4	16.6	0.79	15.5	14.9	0.62
Jimmy Butler	82	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.21	-15	6	-21	17.3	14.9	2.45	15.1	16.9	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	92.0%
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.9%
NYK 94, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.39,0.22,0.23,0.28,0	91.8%