inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 88 Excitement5.2 [810] MVPJames Jones (MIA): +20.3%
Miami Heat 99 Comeback2.2 [1008] LVPGerald Henderson (CHA): -14.4%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh McRoberts0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.120.020.06983%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Cody Zeller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.00367%0.0600.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.031753%0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.01456%0.041-0.031100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.01520%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gary Neal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.001650%0.022-0.06250%-0.02
Kemba Walker-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011556%0.086-0.12683%-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00125%-0.031-0.04250%-0.01
Gerald Henderson-0.140,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.060.03932%-0.111-0.0310%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.110.090.00680%0.2000.00367%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.080.011664%0.243-0.081070%-0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.120.040.051666%0.141-0.02367%-0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.02570%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.02557%0.0100.00450%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.010.02750%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.030.021343%0.011-0.02475%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.0340%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.53.629.817.526.33.632.4138.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +24.0%
MIA +13.5%
CHA -2.6%
MIA +18.8%
CHA -3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMIANBACHAMIANBA
this game15.816.015.196.7110.0105.2
season15.715.6102.4109.7
opponent15.815.1105.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA14.418.016.514.715.8
MIA16.914.117.016.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist29290.21-0.710.93-0.028-192714.216.6-2.3916.215.90.27
Anthony Tolliver1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-19279.916.6-6.7416.315.90.32
Gerald Henderson6464-0.08-0.420.34-0.080-111115.317.0-1.7115.317.7-2.34
Kemba Walker7473-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-111115.318.1-2.7315.617.8-2.19
Josh McRoberts7272-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-10915.317.7-2.3415.816.6-0.71
Bismack Biyombo1314-0.23-0.270.040.01-8-3-518.515.43.1516.915.81.11
Al Jefferson6765-0.27-0.23-0.040.05-110-1116.314.61.7015.716.6-0.90
Cody Zeller1918-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-1-917.715.32.3416.615.80.71
Luke Ridnour1717-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-110-1118.115.32.7317.815.62.19
Chris Douglas-Roberts3736-0.540.04-0.57-0.04-176-2318.314.24.1016.915.41.50
Gary Neal5251-0.590.09-0.69-0.21-132-1515.616.1-0.4716.115.80.25

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen37370.69-0.180.87-0.1428-174516.215.80.3418.514.04.47
James Jones24250.65-0.150.810.1318-72516.915.71.2118.214.93.26
Ray Allen41400.55-0.050.600.1115-41916.515.60.9216.815.11.72
Norris Cole54540.470.030.440.151101115.916.1-0.2515.416.5-1.14
LeBron James74740.340.160.170.34011-1116.015.90.1415.218.5-3.24
Mario Chalmers48490.170.33-0.150.1229-715.816.2-0.4715.716.0-0.35
Rashard Lewis15150.060.44-0.37-0.0856-115.716.0-0.3117.815.42.35
Chris Bosh6566-0.040.54-0.570.08-415-1915.816.4-0.5114.918.2-3.26
Dwyane Wade6568-0.090.59-0.670.09-617-2315.716.8-1.0715.317.3-1.97
Udonis Haslem2727-0.310.81-1.120.10-1425-3915.916.0-0.1413.816.7-2.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 82, DEN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,193.9%
TOR 90, NYK 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,193.6%
ATL 90, SAC 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,193.5%