NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	4.9 [885]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +23.3%
Denver Nuggets	92		Comeback	2.4 [821]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): -17.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.17	0.04	0.01	7	107%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Emmett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	3	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	8	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.10	0.01	13	83%	0.28	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	14	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-0.02	-0.07	16	32%	-0.08	4	-0.10	8	37%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	30.6	16.3	22.6	2.4	29.7	125.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +35.3%

DEN +4.0%

DEN +17.4%

MEM -6.5%

MEM -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	17.7	17.2	15.5	100.0	110.8	104.0
season	16.4	14.8		103.7	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	17.3	20.1	17.3	17.7
DEN	16.9	12.7	18.8	21.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	43	41	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-14	18	19.0	16.4	2.64	18.4	16.0	2.46
Dahntay Jones	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	12.2	18.1	-5.90	22.0	16.9	5.14
Andre Emmett	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	8.0	18.0	-9.99	21.0	17.0	3.97
Jason Williams	56	58	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-19	28	18.0	17.2	0.81	18.9	13.0	5.91
James Posey	60	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	18.2	16.4	1.82	17.5	16.2	1.32
Lorenzen Wright	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-9	8	17.4	18.4	-1.00	18.2	15.0	3.21
Stromile Swift	30	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	1	-12	17.5	17.9	-0.33	15.8	18.0	-2.21
Brian Cardinal	26	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-5	0	17.0	18.1	-1.03	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Shane Battier	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	18.3	15.7	2.59	17.1	17.3	-0.12
Earl Watson	26	25	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	9	-28	17.2	18.0	-0.81	13.0	18.9	-5.91
Bonzi Wells	41	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	9	-28	17.0	18.5	-1.49	14.7	19.7	-5.07

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	58	56	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.11	22	-12	34	16.0	19.8	-3.82	17.0	19.3	-2.23
Bryon Russell	41	39	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-8	26	16.8	17.5	-0.77	17.1	18.3	-1.17
Andre Miller	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	1	8	17.5	14.3	3.18	17.8	17.1	0.66
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	16	16	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	14.8	17.7	-2.92	16.5	18.0	-1.55
Francisco Elson	28	28	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	18.0	16.8	1.20	17.0	18.1	-1.18
Marcus Camby	63	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	7	-4	17.5	16.2	1.21	18.2	16.2	1.98
Kenyon Martin	63	62	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	11	-12	17.3	16.8	0.42	17.8	17.6	0.12
Rodney White	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	10.3	18.0	-7.67	17.9	17.7	0.15
Greg Buckner	33	34	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	21	-32	18.0	16.6	1.43	19.1	16.8	2.30
DerMarr Johnson	30	30	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.14	-16	26	-42	19.9	15.6	4.23	18.5	17.3	1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
CHA 88, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
PHI 94, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%