NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	90		Excitement	4.6 [877]		MVP	Howard Eisley (NYK): +14.2%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.1 [719]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -10.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Bradley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	12	72%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Voshon Lenard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	-0.05	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	20	52%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.02	0.05	14	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	8	81%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	14	62%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	17	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.5	26.6	16.3	22.4	1.8	26.4	116.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.4%

TOR -5.1%

TOR -2.4%

NYK +2.8%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	15.5	96.8	108.7	101.6
season	16.2	15.6		98.8	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.3		104.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	16.2	17.4	17.8	16.6
NYK	15.4	15.1	13.9	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	80	79	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-13	16	16.3	18.8	-2.47	14.6	13.5	1.09
Alvin Williams	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-13	16	16.2	18.3	-2.12	14.8	13.2	1.57
Morris Peterson	72	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-11	12	16.3	17.8	-1.50	14.7	13.9	0.80
Mamadou N'diaye	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-2	-6	16.8	16.6	0.23	14.7	14.4	0.30
Antonio Davis	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	16.9	15.4	1.49	14.8	13.2	1.60
Michael Bradley	83	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-6	2	16.5	17.9	-1.41	14.3	15.7	-1.37
Rafer Alston	21	20	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	3	-16	18.3	16.2	2.12	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Voshon Lenard	36	37	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.02	-25	15	-40	17.7	16.0	1.76	13.4	15.2	-1.75

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	39	40	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	0	10	15.2	14.0	1.22	17.6	15.9	1.76
Latrell Sprewell	71	73	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	5	0	14.4	14.7	-0.31	16.5	17.3	-0.90
Allan Houston	74	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	14.2	15.7	-1.55	16.3	17.9	-1.66
Michael Doleac	25	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	3	4	14.0	14.7	-0.71	17.4	16.4	1.09
Othella Harrington	53	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	8	-6	14.6	14.3	0.34	16.9	16.3	0.65
Howard Eisley	53	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	8	-6	14.6	14.3	0.34	16.9	16.3	0.65
Charlie Ward	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	2	6	14.3	14.6	-0.34	16.3	16.9	-0.65
Clar. Weatherspoon	39	38	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	2	6	14.3	14.6	-0.34	16.3	16.9	-0.65
Kurt Thomas	67	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	7	-4	14.7	14.0	0.71	16.4	17.4	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
CHA 88, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.7,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
TOR 85, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%