NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	102		Excitement	6.2 [563]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +10.2%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	1.6 [496]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -13.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.00	7	68%	0.10	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	23	60%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.05
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	21	51%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tiago Splitter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	7	35%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Machado	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Festus Ezeli	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	12	44%	-0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	20	42%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	17	43%	-0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	29.5	17.6	26.2	2.8	39.4	145.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +61.5%

GSW -4.9%

GSW -6.0%

GSW -2.4%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	15.3	15.4	109.7	100.0	104.1
season	15.2	14.6		106.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.7	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	15.1	16.4	17.6	15.8
GSW	16.3	15.5	14.9	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	80	78	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.26	17	-7	24	16.1	14.3	1.79	15.3	15.4	-0.09
Manu Ginobili	53	53	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-3	16	15.1	16.8	-1.67	15.9	14.4	1.47
Gary Neal	19	19	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-1	12	16.9	15.6	1.38	16.3	15.0	1.24
Cory Joseph	17	16	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-1	12	12.4	16.6	-4.28	15.6	15.2	0.41
Boris Diaw	39	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	0	10	14.5	16.8	-2.35	15.3	15.3	0.02
Tim Duncan	72	69	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.18	1	9	-8	17.0	12.0	4.91	15.7	14.0	1.65
Tiago Splitter	40	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	10	-10	14.9	16.6	-1.71	15.1	15.4	-0.38
Danny Green	66	65	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	16	-22	16.5	14.3	2.19	14.1	18.1	-4.06
Matt Bonner	11	12	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	14.7	16.0	-1.27	16.2	15.1	1.11
Patty Mills	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	7.0	15.9	-8.95	13.0	15.3	-2.31
DeJuan Blair	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	7.0	15.9	-8.95	13.0	15.3	-2.31
Tony Parker	69	71	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	15	-20	16.1	15.1	1.03	14.9	16.6	-1.67

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	49	51	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-16	22	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.9	14.6	2.24
David Lee	6	5	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-15	20	19.8	15.0	4.87	15.8	15.9	-0.05
Scott Machado	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	13.0	15.3	-2.31	7.0	15.9	-8.95
Kent Bazemore	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	11.5	15.4	-3.87	3.0	16.3	-13.28
Stephen Curry	81	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-11	12	15.1	16.3	-1.12	16.7	10.8	5.82
Carl Landry	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-5	0	15.4	15.2	0.21	15.1	16.8	-1.66
Harrison Barnes	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	15.0	16.0	-1.01	15.1	17.9	-2.79
Draymond Green	29	28	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	1	-12	15.7	15.1	0.59	17.0	15.4	1.60
Festus Ezeli	28	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	16.3	14.8	1.49	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Klay Thompson	80	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.15	-13	3	-16	14.8	18.4	-3.60	16.0	15.0	0.96
Jarrett Jack	65	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.19	-19	9	-28	15.7	14.3	1.34	15.9	15.8	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.43,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.2%
BOS 94, HOU 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.9%
TOR 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%