NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	5.8 [620]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +19.0%
Houston Rockets	87		Comeback	1.6 [700]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -15.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	12	79%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	14	72%	0.22	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	16	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	39%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	2	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	11	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	12	38%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.7	31.6	15.6	25.0	1.8	32.2	132.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +51.7%

HOU -16.5%

BOS +2.7%

BOS +10.9%

BOS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.3	102.2	95.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		105.7	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		106.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	13.9	14.6	16.8	15.1
HOU	15.1	20.4	16.0	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	35	37	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-9	25	15.4	14.9	0.52	16.6	16.2	0.41
Ray Allen	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	14.5	17.4	-2.89	15.5	19.7	-4.14
Marquis Daniels	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	14.7	15.3	-0.62	16.6	16.2	0.41
Glen Davis	31	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-4	15	16.0	14.6	1.34	16.7	16.3	0.43
Rajon Rondo	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	6	-5	14.5	16.6	-2.04	16.4	16.5	-0.16
Nate Robinson	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	1	5	16.6	14.5	2.04	16.5	16.4	0.16
Kevin Garnett	61	59	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.31	-4	11	-15	14.6	16.0	-1.34	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Paul Pierce	55	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	11	-15	15.3	14.7	0.62	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Michael Finley	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	17.4	14.5	2.89	19.7	15.5	4.14
Kendrick Perkins	57	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	16	-25	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.2	16.6	-0.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	61	62	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-13	19	16.0	17.2	-1.18	14.9	15.5	-0.58
David Andersen	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	21.9	15.8	6.08	16.2	15.0	1.27
Chase Budinger	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-2	-3	21.9	15.8	6.08	16.2	15.0	1.27
Charles Hayes	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-7	7	16.2	16.6	-0.47	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Aaron Brooks	64	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-11	15	16.0	17.3	-1.21	14.5	16.4	-1.83
Kevin Martin	67	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.9	17.9	-1.99	15.4	14.2	1.20
Luis Scola	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	15.6	21.1	-5.45	15.2	14.5	0.63
Kyle Lowry	30	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	6	-19	17.2	16.0	1.18	15.5	14.9	0.58
Jordan Hill	49	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	16.9	15.9	0.98	14.9	15.3	-0.35
Shane Battier	42	41	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	8	-23	16.6	16.2	0.39	15.2	15.0	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, SEA 77	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.9%
SAS 102, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.43,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.05,0,0	93.9%
TOR 98, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%