NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	5.6 [678]		MVP	Nazr Mohammed (CHI): +8.5%
Brooklyn Nets	82		Comeback	1.1 [477]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (BKN): -14.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	4	-0.11	6	50%	-0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	17	41%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Jimmy Butler	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	14	58%	0.09	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	18	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.4	29.4	17.7	29.0	2.8	45.2	153.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +48.1%

BKN -2.9%

CHI +6.2%

BKN -6.9%

CHI +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BKN	NBA	CHI	BKN	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.4	98.9	89.1	104.1
season	16.6	16.5		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	17.1	16.8	17.2	16.5
BKN	13.7	15.6	17.5	13.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	67	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-2	12	16.2	17.4	-1.20	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Carlos Boozer	79	80	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-1	10	16.9	13.8	3.07	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Luol Deng	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	-1	10	16.2	19.3	-3.15	14.5	19.3	-4.82
Joakim Noah	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	1	6	16.1	17.1	-1.02	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Jimmy Butler	58	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	2	4	15.7	17.8	-2.08	15.0	14.9	0.08
Nate Robinson	48	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	3	2	17.1	15.8	1.25	15.5	14.5	1.02
Nazr Mohammed	30	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	3	2	16.7	16.4	0.26	16.4	14.2	2.19
Taj Gibson	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	14	-20	16.9	16.4	0.57	16.7	14.5	2.14
Marco Belinelli	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	18.4	15.9	2.51	15.9	14.7	1.23

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
MarShon Brooks	2	3	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-14	20	9.0	15.1	-6.12	20.7	16.4	4.31
Keith Bogans	25	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-7	6	16.6	14.4	2.21	17.0	16.3	0.62
CJ Watson	49	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-14	20	15.0	14.9	0.11	17.3	15.6	1.70
Kris Humphries	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-8	8	16.3	14.3	1.91	18.2	15.6	2.53
Jerry Stackhouse	13	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-4	0	15.0	15.0	0.01	13.0	17.1	-4.08
Andray Blatche	36	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.6	14.6	1.07	18.1	15.5	2.68
Brook Lopez	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	14.2	17.2	-2.97	16.1	17.8	-1.75
Joe Johnson	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-4	0	14.4	17.9	-3.44	16.5	16.6	-0.18
Reggie Evans	46	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	4	-16	15.1	14.9	0.24	15.6	17.4	-1.79
Gerald Wallace	38	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	8	-24	15.3	14.7	0.60	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Deron Williams	74	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	14.7	16.0	-1.26	16.2	17.8	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.04,0.19,0.16,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	94.0%
MIN 102, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	93.9%
LAL 108, HOU 94	0.5,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0,0,0	93.9%