NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	81		Excitement	4.4 [966]		MVP	David West (IND): +5.9%
Atlanta Hawks	73		Comeback	1.4 [621]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -14.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	21	46%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	14	57%	0.10	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
George Hill	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	60%	0.09	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Jeff Ayres	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	10	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	12	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	14	47%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	16	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	36%	-0.06	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.8	33.3	17.6	27.3	3.5	39.2	148.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.6%

ATL -6.6%

IND +23.2%

ATL -5.6%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	14.9	15.4	86.2	77.7	104.1
season	16.1	15.1		102.4	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	15.8	15.2	17.9	15.8
ATL	16.4	14.2	15.4	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	87	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	15.5	18.9	-3.33	14.9	14.2	0.74
David West	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	1	6	15.7	16.0	-0.25	14.3	18.7	-4.38
Roy Hibbert	74	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-1	10	15.8	15.5	0.29	15.2	13.6	1.60
Lance Stephenson	68	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	0	8	15.9	15.4	0.49	14.6	15.5	-0.86
George Hill	69	68	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	6	-4	16.2	14.6	1.55	14.6	15.6	-1.04
D.J. Augustin	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	8	-8	16.6	15.3	1.31	14.9	14.8	0.13
Jeff Ayres	22	24	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	4	0	13.7	16.4	-2.68	16.1	14.4	1.64
Ian Mahinmi	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	9	-10	15.5	15.8	-0.29	13.6	15.2	-1.60
Tyler Hansbrough	10	11	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	7	-6	16.0	15.7	0.25	18.7	14.3	4.38

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	1	0	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	0.0	15.0	-15.02	0.0	15.8	-15.78
Anthony Tolliver	21	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-1	-6	14.4	15.0	-0.56	13.7	16.3	-2.64
Ivan Johnson	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-1	-6	16.0	14.4	1.67	15.0	16.1	-1.11
Devin Harris	76	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.0	14.4	0.52	15.8	15.6	0.23
Johan Petro	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	0	-8	15.9	14.0	1.97	14.7	16.7	-2.02
Kyle Korver	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-9	10	14.4	15.9	-1.45	16.3	14.5	1.82
Al Horford	81	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	14.9	14.4	0.55	16.2	13.6	2.59
Jeff Teague	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	14.7	15.4	-0.72	16.3	14.2	2.09
Josh Smith	87	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	0	-8	14.6	18.6	-4.01	15.8	15.6	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.07,0,0	94.6%
DET 91, CHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.4%
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%