NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	91		Excitement	4.5 [906]		MVP	B.J. Armstrong (CHI): +7.9%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.5 [1096]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -18.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.01
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	7	44%	0.04	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	17	47%	-0.01	5	-0.10	9	89%	0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	12	35%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	16	61%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Dedric Willoughby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	0.04	12	50%	-0.08	5	-0.11	10	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.8	26.1	15.8	29.2	2.3	28.4	130.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -0.3%

DET +24.3%

DET +0.4%

DET +27.2%

CHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.2	94.8	80.2	101.7
season	14.1	16.5		104.2	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.3		102.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.0	15.6	13.1	16.7	14.3
CHI	18.8	15.1	14.6	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	70	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	15.0	12.2	2.80	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Jud Buechler	30	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	5	4	15.8	13.6	2.27	16.8	15.3	1.48
Christian Laettner	67	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	8	-2	14.3	14.2	0.14	14.8	18.1	-3.31
Grant Hill	68	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	3	8	13.5	16.2	-2.69	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Jerry Stackhouse	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	4	6	13.0	17.4	-4.41	15.7	15.7	0.07
Michael Curry	34	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	9	-4	15.8	13.4	2.36	16.2	15.5	0.69
Loy Vaught	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.08	8	6	2	15.2	13.9	1.31	17.5	15.2	2.36
John Crotty	31	33	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	12	-10	18.3	12.4	5.94	15.9	15.7	0.23
Lindsey Hunter	57	56	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	9	-4	12.8	16.4	-3.56	15.5	16.1	-0.59
Terry Mills	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	14	-14	12.1	15.3	-3.16	17.3	15.0	2.33
Eric Montross	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	14	-14	0.0	14.4	-14.42	0.0	15.7	-15.73

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dickey Simpkins	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-13	12	16.5	15.0	1.46	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Kornel David	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-9	4	13.3	16.1	-2.80	13.3	14.4	-1.11
Khalid Reeves	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-17	20	15.6	15.8	-0.12	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Chris Anstey	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	15.0	16.1	-1.17	16.7	12.9	3.82
Corey Benjamin	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-11	8	14.8	17.1	-2.28	15.7	12.1	3.54
Dedric Willoughby	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	18.4	15.0	3.46	11.2	15.1	-3.88
Elton Brand	85	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-9	4	15.7	15.7	0.00	13.9	16.8	-2.88
B.J. Armstrong	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.13	-17	3	-20	16.1	14.2	1.91	14.3	14.2	0.10
Metta World Peace	88	87	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	15.5	18.2	-2.75	14.2	15.1	-0.93
Michael Ruffin	30	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	4	-22	16.0	15.6	0.44	13.6	14.6	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, WAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0,0	95.7%
DET 116, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
LAC 91, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.6%