NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	3.0 [1202]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +6.9%
Boston Celtics	76		Comeback	1.2 [579]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -11.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	25	52%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	12	56%	0.08	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Steve Novak	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	17	55%	0.01	5	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	9	64%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	0.03	15	47%	-0.02	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.6	29.5	17.0	27.1	3.5	30.3	135.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.1%

BOS -0.4%

BOS -3.4%

NYK +15.9%

NYK +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	18.7	16.2	15.4	109.8	91.6	104.1
season	16.2	14.9		107.9	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.7	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.8	16.1	19.8	20.4	18.7
BOS	14.8	19.1	16.2	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	64	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	8	-2	19.4	16.5	2.88	15.7	17.7	-2.07
Tyson Chandler	52	50	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	1	12	19.4	17.5	1.91	16.0	16.5	-0.50
Pablo Prigioni	53	52	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	1	12	17.6	20.8	-3.12	17.1	14.6	2.45
Raymond Felton	58	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	2	10	19.3	17.5	1.82	15.6	17.7	-2.04
Jason Kidd	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	10	-6	18.3	19.3	-1.01	16.6	15.7	0.96
J.R. Smith	41	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	6	2	18.5	19.0	-0.41	16.8	15.6	1.22
Iman Shumpert	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	6	2	19.5	18.2	1.29	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Kenyon Martin	28	30	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	15	-16	17.6	19.3	-1.67	16.7	15.9	0.87
Steve Novak	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	13	-12	18.8	18.7	0.06	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Quentin Richardson	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	16.0	18.8	-2.81	14.0	16.3	-2.26
Chris Copeland	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	16.0	18.8	-2.81	14.0	16.3	-2.26
James White	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	16.0	18.8	-2.81	14.0	16.3	-2.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	19	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-11	8	15.8	16.3	-0.51	19.2	18.6	0.62
Terrence Williams	12	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.15	-6	-8	2	15.7	16.3	-0.60	15.4	19.2	-3.81
Jordan Crawford	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-12	10	17.3	15.7	1.61	16.9	19.5	-2.61
Brandon Bass	40	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.10	-10	-4	-6	16.9	15.5	1.44	18.1	19.3	-1.27
Kevin Garnett	60	60	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	16.2	16.0	0.19	18.5	19.3	-0.72
Avery Bradley	56	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-5	-4	15.5	17.7	-2.20	19.9	16.4	3.48
Jeff Green	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-5	-4	16.1	16.4	-0.30	19.3	12.6	6.75
Paul Pierce	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	-3	-8	16.0	17.4	-1.36	18.6	19.6	-1.03
Jason Terry	59	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	-2	-10	16.3	15.8	0.55	18.9	18.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAC 110, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHX 93, GSW 83	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%