NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	3.8 [1026]		MVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): +3.9%
Golden State Warriors	83		Comeback	1.1 [1031]		LVP	Marc Jackson (GSW): -15.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	80%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	21	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	9	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	15	44%	-0.00	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	15	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	21	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Ruben Garces	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.12	7	87%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	12	31%	-0.07	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.01	-0.02	16	22%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	14	21%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	23.2	15.7	24.2	0.7	29.2	118.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.9%

PHX +4.3%

PHX +1.4%

PHX +13.0%

GSW -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	15.5	93.9	83.8	100.9
season	14.9	15.0		97.7	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		104.8	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	12.5	14.8	15.4	14.2
GSW	14.4	15.8	16.5	12.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.01	20	-10	30	14.3	14.2	0.07	15.8	12.5	3.36
Shawn Marion	76	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	-9	28	14.4	13.6	0.81	15.5	12.6	2.84
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-6	22	14.3	13.9	0.48	15.2	13.3	1.89
Tom Gugliotta	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	9	-8	13.7	15.5	-1.78	14.7	15.2	-0.44
Jake Tsakalidis	55	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	-5	20	14.9	13.3	1.60	14.4	15.5	-1.16
Vinny Del Negro	39	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	5	0	13.9	14.5	-0.59	13.7	15.6	-1.97
Tony Delk	52	52	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.42	-8	18	-26	14.0	14.5	-0.53	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Mario Elie	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	3	4	14.9	14.0	0.94	15.5	14.6	0.94
Elliot Perry	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	14.4	14.2	0.16	11.1	15.1	-4.00
Daniel Santiago	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	20	-30	14.4	14.2	0.16	11.1	15.1	-4.00
Rodney Rogers	11	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	15	-20	12.5	14.5	-2.00	12.2	15.2	-2.96

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Garces	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-20	30	7.5	15.2	-7.67	13.0	14.3	-1.30
Paul McPherson	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-20	30	11.1	15.1	-4.00	14.4	14.2	0.16
Larry Hughes	54	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.30	10	-20	30	14.1	15.8	-1.69	14.7	13.7	0.93
Vonteego Cummings	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.24	6	-16	22	13.4	16.1	-2.67	14.6	14.0	0.59
Corie Blount	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-11	12	13.6	16.1	-2.50	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Marc Jackson	63	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-6	2	15.6	13.5	2.09	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Mookie Blaylock	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	11	-32	15.6	13.4	2.15	14.3	14.1	0.13
Antawn Jamison	88	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	10	-30	15.5	10.0	5.47	14.2	14.2	0.07
Adonal Foyle	52	52	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.15	-22	12	-34	15.2	14.4	0.78	14.8	13.6	1.17
Bob Sura	65	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	10	-30	15.7	13.2	2.52	13.8	15.0	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, BOS 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 82, ORL 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	96.2%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%