NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	3.4 [1142]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +12.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	1.0 [661]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -16.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.00	0.06	20	68%	0.20	4	-0.07	16	87%	0.03
Brad Miller	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.01	18	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Martin	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.04	14	59%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.00	-0.02	16	61%	0.15	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	78%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.03
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	30%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	23	40%	-0.04	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	12	12%	-0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.8	15.8	27.2	2.5	32.2	134.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.5%

SAC +12.8%

SAC +2.1%

SAC +3.3%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.6	110.0	93.9	104.4
season	15.3	15.2		104.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		102.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.9	10.8	14.6	16.9	14.5
LAC	13.4	16.3	14.8	12.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	90	88	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.14	23	-6	29	14.8	12.0	2.81	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Kevin Martin	88	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	-7	31	14.8	12.7	2.12	13.9	18.1	-4.22
Francisco Garcia	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	2	13	15.0	11.4	3.54	14.5	14.0	0.47
Kenny Thomas	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.16	21	-4	25	15.3	13.1	2.23	13.9	15.4	-1.56
Mike Bibby	84	84	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	5	7	15.1	11.7	3.31	14.5	14.2	0.25
Jason Hart	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	16	-15	12.7	15.1	-2.33	15.7	14.0	1.67
Brian Skinner	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	20	-23	13.1	15.3	-2.18	15.1	14.0	1.04
Corliss Williamson	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	15	-13	11.2	15.3	-4.10	16.5	13.9	2.55
Jamal Sampson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	11.0	14.7	-3.68	14.7	14.4	0.35
Ronnie Price	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	11.0	14.7	-3.68	14.7	14.4	0.35

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-23	29	11.4	14.8	-3.43	15.9	14.3	1.58
Howard Eisley	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	13.6	14.5	-0.91	12.3	14.8	-2.48
Boniface N'Dong	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-21	25	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.1	14.4	0.73
Yaroslav Korolev	47	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-20	23	13.2	15.5	-2.37	15.4	13.7	1.64
Chris Wilcox	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-17	17	12.9	14.9	-1.98	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Daniel Ewing	22	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-9	1	15.4	14.1	1.22	12.3	15.2	-2.95
Cuttino Mobley	82	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.9	12.9	1.93
Sam Cassell	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	2	-21	15.2	13.2	2.00	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Elton Brand	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	7	-31	14.5	14.2	0.31	14.4	15.0	-0.62
Chris Kaman	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.14	-20	3	-23	15.4	12.6	2.76	14.8	14.1	0.67
Shaun Livingston	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	0	-17	14.5	14.0	0.50	15.1	13.1	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, BOS 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
IND 109, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
HOU 106, UTA 76	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%