inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 82 Excitement3.3 [914] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +9.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Comeback1.5 [672] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -11.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Jackson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.10-0.000.067114%0.094-0.0500%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.02-0.06553%0.074-0.055100%0.03
Danny Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Anderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02267%0.0000.00250%0.00
DeJuan Blair-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07771%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00329%-0.0000.0010%-0.01
Patty Mills-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.04530%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Gary Neal-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.041132%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Boris Diaw-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00220%-0.011-0.021100%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00050%0.002-0.05250%-0.00
Tony Parker-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.010.021262%0.065-0.112100%0.01
Matt Bonner-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.0340%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.011534%-0.062-0.03250%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.01-0.021062%0.111-0.024100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.100.010.041658%0.0600.001100%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.003100%0.0600.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.000.05964%0.0300.004100%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.01-0.01-0.021755%0.083-0.056100%0.02
Royal Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lazar Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cole Aldrich0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02736%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.000.011533%-0.072-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.83.733.118.729.43.027.3141.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +16.9%
OKC +0.8%
OKC +11.0%
OKC +22.5%
SAS -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game16.315.215.691.1109.7102.8
season15.314.7109.1107.9
opponent15.815.2101.9101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.119.016.014.016.3
OKC13.313.116.718.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Anderson28280.00-0.500.50-0.176-263213.817.4-3.6318.114.04.10
DeJuan Blair1717-0.00-0.500.49-0.093-232614.116.8-2.6819.814.25.58
Patty Mills2020-0.02-0.480.460.07-3-171413.917.0-3.0717.814.53.37
Tiago Splitter2627-0.11-0.390.270.09-7-13615.116.8-1.6512.516.3-3.84
Manu Ginobili4245-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-161215.217.2-2.0113.816.5-2.72
Boris Diaw2628-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-11218.715.33.3313.615.9-2.34
Stephen Jackson4445-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-9-215.517.0-1.5414.316.0-1.73
Matt Bonner4342-0.23-0.270.030.09-11-9-216.216.4-0.1516.614.12.54
Danny Green3838-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-13617.215.61.5516.314.51.83
Gary Neal4345-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-3-1415.317.2-1.8914.316.0-1.73
Kawhi Leonard2729-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-9-218.815.23.6113.915.8-1.85
Tony Parker4952-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-7-617.914.33.5815.115.4-0.29
Tim Duncan4749-0.38-0.12-0.270.08-16-4-1217.714.73.0015.115.3-0.17

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Russell Westbrook66620.470.030.43-0.3829-93815.015.7-0.7017.014.72.23
Serge Ibaka62580.370.130.23-0.2822-22415.015.5-0.4716.216.5-0.28
James Harden52500.340.160.19-0.211911813.717.0-3.3016.715.80.84
Kevin Durant75720.320.180.13-0.211821615.215.4-0.2316.316.10.22
Kendrick Perkins45420.290.210.07-0.10137615.115.3-0.1417.215.51.78
Derek Fisher38380.280.220.070.25119-1815.315.20.1016.516.20.32
Thabo Sefolosha74710.250.250.00-0.191551014.816.8-2.0615.917.6-1.70
Nick Collison19190.190.31-0.130.04515-1012.715.8-3.1017.416.01.37
Royal Ivey890.000.50-0.500.15-525-3020.514.75.7913.616.6-3.04
Daequan Cook10110.000.50-0.500.21-727-3420.614.66.0513.816.6-2.81
Lazar Hayward890.000.50-0.500.15-525-3020.514.75.7913.616.6-3.04
Cole Aldrich890.000.50-0.500.15-525-3020.514.75.7913.616.6-3.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 93, OKC 1140.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
SAS 85, PHX 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
IND 75, MEM 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%