inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 85 Excitement3.4 [1121] MVPChanning Frye (PHX): +8.2%
Phoenix Suns 106 Comeback1.6 [543] LVPPatty Mills (SAS): -15.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tiago Splitter0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.02662%0.031-0.024100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.040.00550%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Aron Baynes0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.0210%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.021052%0.022-0.045100%0.02
Shannon Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03629%-0.021-0.012100%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.000.000.05842%-0.0600.008100%0.02
Boris Diaw-0.060,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00855%-0.014-0.05475%0.00
Danny Green-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.010.071258%-0.013-0.07250%-0.01
Patty Mills-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.21-0.01-0.071414%-0.123-0.0400%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Channing Frye0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.100.000.021265%0.0800.00250%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.000.01975%0.101-0.03250%-0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.150.010.101081%0.081-0.02667%0.00
Archie Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.05569%0.0100.003100%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.021157%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Viacheslav Kravtsov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dionte Christmas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miles Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.000.001100%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.031439%-0.011-0.02560%-0.02
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.13-0.00-0.041033%-0.064-0.03450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.029.115.421.52.431.3127.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +45.2%
SAS -8.1%
PHX +4.7%
PHX +8.2%
SAS -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game14.614.615.186.7107.1105.2
season15.014.7109.8107.7
opponent14.915.0105.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.616.214.713.114.6
PHX14.213.814.715.714.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter12130.09-0.590.68-0.065-263116.314.41.9612.514.9-2.40
Manu Ginobili27280.02-0.520.530.08-2-191713.814.9-1.1514.914.50.37
Matt Bonner5153-0.00-0.500.49-0.031-222313.915.4-1.5214.315.0-0.66
Aron Baynes3435-0.02-0.480.45-0.051-222313.115.4-2.3815.514.11.42
Patty Mills5153-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-212114.115.2-1.1514.714.50.15
Marco Belinelli5656-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-161113.915.6-1.6814.914.30.57
Jeff Ayres2020-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-6-915.214.50.7415.614.41.28
Tim Duncan4444-0.30-0.20-0.090.12-14-7-714.614.6-0.0414.614.7-0.06
Shannon Brown3434-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-12-9-315.214.30.8614.514.7-0.24
Cory Joseph5351-0.48-0.02-0.450.23-243-2715.014.10.8914.814.50.29
Danny Green6162-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-18-3-1515.812.73.1113.816.0-2.19
Boris Diaw4746-0.50-0.00-0.490.15-221-2315.413.91.5215.014.30.66

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic60600.65-0.150.80-0.2029-83713.716.0-2.2215.513.12.42
Channing Frye74730.64-0.140.78-0.0925-42915.013.61.3215.213.02.11
Marcus Morris51490.460.040.41-0.132011913.815.5-1.6615.613.62.00
Markieff Morris52530.420.080.33-0.141921713.815.5-1.7215.014.10.89
Ish Smith63620.300.200.09-0.031110114.614.7-0.1914.614.7-0.13
Miles Plumlee37370.150.35-0.19-0.05714-715.414.11.2914.614.60.06
Gerald Green55540.040.46-0.430.09-223-2514.914.20.7214.215.1-0.91
Archie Goodwin28280.030.47-0.44-0.09417-1315.514.31.1713.115.2-2.11
Viacheslav Kravtsov650.000.50-0.500.03-122-2318.314.43.957.615.0-7.39
Dionte Christmas650.000.50-0.500.03-122-2318.314.43.957.615.0-7.39
PJ Tucker4849-0.030.53-0.550.00-122-2314.614.6-0.0014.514.7-0.20
Alex Len1515-0.160.66-0.81-0.01-526-3114.714.60.0512.914.9-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 1270.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
SAS 106, WAS 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
SAS 82, OKC 1020.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%