inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 106 Excitement3.5 [1131] MVPOtto Porter Jr. (WAS): +10.0%
Washington Wizards 116 Comeback2.0 [444] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -6.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.050,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.000.01672%0.071-0.02683%0.01
Pau Gasol0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.021043%0.0500.00367%-0.00
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.010.03779%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04470%0.0100.00250%0.00
Danny Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.03667%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Gay0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00842%0.0000.00367%-0.00
Brandon Paul-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.00-0.07529%-0.001-0.0040%-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02756%-0.0110.00250%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.050.000.05757%-0.0100.00771%-0.00
Davis Bertans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.03944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.000.00430%-0.031-0.0220%-0.03
Dejounte Murray-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.000.02837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.000.06644%-0.0600.00450%-0.03

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.000.047100%0.1000.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.000.017107%0.143-0.0600%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.010.011157%0.0600.001100%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.03955%0.0400.004100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.03957%0.0400.00367%-0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00757%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.041246%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.01667%0.014-0.02667%-0.01
Tomas Satoransky0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02658%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.01-0.01844%0.003-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.31.531.515.421.91.732.3128.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +36.7%
WAS +5.5%
WAS +12.6%
SAS -5.3%
WAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game14.814.614.7108.2118.4107.5
season15.514.8106.7108.2
opponent14.714.5107.9104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.415.916.310.714.8
WAS14.715.414.314.014.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili22220.02-0.520.53-0.073-131615.814.61.2115.014.40.58
Tony Parker36360.01-0.510.520.07-2-8614.814.9-0.0914.314.7-0.43
Brandon Paul3234-0.03-0.470.45-0.299-192811.116.7-5.5614.414.7-0.30
Joffrey Lauvergne3537-0.03-0.470.45-0.3210-203011.716.6-4.9014.814.40.42
Davis Bertans4143-0.07-0.430.36-0.277-172412.216.7-4.5414.614.50.05
Rudy Gay3029-0.10-0.400.29-0.07-1-9816.114.31.7715.314.21.03
Bryn Forbes3840-0.12-0.380.25-0.337-172411.916.7-4.8115.114.20.89
Kyle Anderson4242-0.21-0.290.07-0.303-131613.715.7-2.0114.214.8-0.59
Pau Gasol3935-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-122-1416.114.02.0613.115.4-2.32
LaMarcus Aldridge3233-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-111-1216.614.02.6615.714.01.77
Patty Mills5050-0.44-0.06-0.390.08-188-2616.912.74.2114.814.30.43
Danny Green4845-0.49-0.01-0.480.18-2313-3617.212.54.7313.715.3-1.64
Dejounte Murray4544-0.510.01-0.520.13-2212-3417.512.64.8614.814.40.44

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Oubre Jr.56560.390.110.28-0.0816-62215.014.01.0114.615.1-0.45
Ramon Sessions51500.350.150.210.2928-614.814.30.5313.516.2-2.73
Otto Porter Jr.43450.340.160.18-0.0413-31614.814.40.3917.013.04.00
Bradley Beal53530.290.210.09-0.0612-21415.313.61.7216.512.83.68
Mike Scott42420.290.210.08-0.1515-52014.015.0-1.0115.914.01.91
Marcin Gortat45460.260.240.03-0.1213-31615.014.10.9116.113.72.36
Jodie Meeks45450.210.29-0.090.26-212-1413.615.3-1.7212.816.5-3.68
Tomas Satoransky47480.150.35-0.21-0.0982614.314.8-0.5316.213.52.73
Ian Mahinmi48470.130.37-0.250.33-717-2413.915.2-1.2412.916.7-3.82
Markieff Morris32330.090.41-0.320.0037-414.714.50.3017.113.73.44
Jason Smith18160.000.50-0.500.38-1323-3614.514.6-0.068.116.2-8.10
Tim Frazier1090.000.50-0.500.29-1020-3013.914.6-0.737.815.6-7.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 77, DET 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
POR 103, MIN 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
MIN 101, LAC 1270.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%