inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 77 Excitement3.0 [1175] MVPBob Sura (DET): +6.1%
Detroit Pistons 98 Comeback1.6 [882] LVPBen Wallace (DET): -13.6%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kwame Brown0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.01965%0.031-0.00250%0.00
Mitchell Butler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01550%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.06621%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Torraye Braggs-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03731%-0.0200.00250%-0.00
Juan Dixon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.09-0.000.10874%-0.0200.00367%-0.00
Jared Jeffries-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01844%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Brevin Knight-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01757%0.034-0.0800%0.00
Steve Blake-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.05636%-0.023-0.032100%0.01
Jarvis Hayes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03825%-0.051-0.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes-0.080,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.00-0.001236%-0.061-0.024100%0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00872%0.061-0.0020%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.00-0.011264%0.082-0.0310%-0.01
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.030.01-0.07550%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.02772%0.051-0.02475%-0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02667%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.020.021261%0.053-0.044100%0.02
Zeljko Rebraca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02867%-0.014-0.032100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.021020%-0.083-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.428.516.721.32.323.7118.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +39.9%
WAS -3.3%
DET +15.3%
WAS -3.3%
DET +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDETNBAWASDETNBA
this game16.815.615.786.5110.1100.5
season15.216.296.499.2
opponent16.015.392.6102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.019.616.216.616.8
DET16.314.713.118.515.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mitchell Butler2828-0.01-0.490.49-0.155-263115.217.5-2.2616.015.40.54
Juan Dixon2830-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-232516.516.9-0.4417.814.53.38
Torraye Braggs1614-0.19-0.310.110.16-12-9-319.416.23.2617.015.31.67
Etan Thomas3029-0.19-0.310.11-0.11-3-181517.316.50.7618.014.43.57
Steve Blake4140-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-171315.817.6-1.7316.215.11.19
Brendan Haywood3637-0.26-0.24-0.020.27-18-3-1517.316.40.9614.016.7-2.73
Jarvis Hayes4040-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-7-716.616.9-0.3415.815.40.42
Jared Jeffries4444-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-12-9-317.116.40.6914.916.3-1.36
Brevin Knight4849-0.28-0.22-0.070.22-17-4-1317.615.81.7315.116.2-1.19
Kwame Brown7375-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.04-9-12316.219.4-3.2615.317.0-1.67
Larry Hughes6159-0.38-0.12-0.260.29-232-2516.916.50.4414.517.8-3.38

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups60590.500.000.50-0.2325-42914.218.5-4.3317.315.81.45
Corliss Williamson27280.320.180.13-0.07138516.615.21.3816.816.70.08
Ben Wallace55540.310.190.13-0.211831514.018.2-4.2217.116.20.93
Richard Hamilton54540.280.220.06-0.251831515.316.0-0.7117.415.71.68
Tayshaun Prince62600.260.240.03-0.291921714.617.9-3.2417.016.20.88
Bob Sura32340.240.26-0.020.12417-1318.014.33.7116.716.8-0.09
Chucky Atkins42430.220.28-0.060.10417-1316.714.62.1615.617.9-2.29
Elden Campbell780.190.31-0.12-0.05813-518.115.42.7620.416.43.97
Mehmet Okur53530.180.32-0.15-0.18129314.317.5-3.2015.918.0-2.03
Darvin Ham15150.000.50-0.490.12-425-2919.114.94.1716.616.8-0.20
Zeljko Rebraca22220.000.50-0.490.15-526-3118.014.83.1316.117.0-0.83
Darko Milicic16150.000.50-0.500.21-728-3518.515.03.5415.517.0-1.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 1270.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
SAS 106, WAS 1160.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
CHI 106, CHA 1350.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%