NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	8.1 [186]		MVP	Randy Foye (LAC): +21.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	7.5 [166]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -19.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	5	36%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.01	5	73%	0.14	3	-0.21	5	100%	0.03
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	10	37%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.19	0.01	-0.18	0.02	13	59%	-0.09	4	-0.10	15	80%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	8	30%	-0.06	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	9	89%	0.31	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.06	0.03	19	52%	0.13	3	-0.09	8	87%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.07
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.02	13	49%	0.05	5	-0.23	9	33%	-0.09
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	3	27%	-0.19	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.23

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.7	42.6	18.5	30.4	3.0	47.5	173.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +100.2%

MEM -54.4%

LAC +8.1%

MEM -6.5%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	95.6	94.6	102.8
season	15.6	16.2		102.0	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.5	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.4	13.4	14.7	19.1	15.7
LAC	17.8	13.8	17.4	15.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	33	33	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.01	6	-7	13	14.6	16.2	-1.61	17.5	15.1	2.38
Gilbert Arenas	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-6	11	8.0	15.8	-7.83	1.3	16.5	-15.15
Josh Selby	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	2.0	15.8	-13.81	0.0	16.0	-15.99
Marc Gasol	64	67	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.51	17	-18	35	15.6	15.7	-0.11	16.4	14.8	1.63
Dante Cunningham	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	6	-13	12.3	16.1	-3.78	13.6	16.3	-2.68
Quincy Pondexter	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	6	-13	15.0	16.3	-1.22	15.7	16.3	-0.54
Rudy Gay	69	72	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-10	19	16.4	13.3	3.09	16.1	15.4	0.69
O.J. Mayo	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	5	-11	14.5	17.7	-3.15	15.5	16.8	-1.35
Marreese Speights	36	35	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.05	-22	21	-43	15.3	15.9	-0.54	15.7	16.2	-0.44
Zach Randolph	69	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.81	7	-8	15	16.4	13.1	3.28	16.4	14.5	1.90
Mike Conley	63	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.47	-7	6	-13	17.2	12.0	5.28	15.9	16.1	-0.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	46	45	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.54	8	-7	15	15.2	16.7	-1.50	16.3	15.0	1.27
Chris Paul	81	79	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	15.6	18.9	-3.32	15.2	18.9	-3.71
Eric Bledsoe	24	23	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.58	-1	2	-3	16.5	15.8	0.69	17.3	15.1	2.16
Randy Foye	68	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.55	-6	7	-13	16.4	14.8	1.62	15.7	15.5	0.16
Blake Griffin	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.55	-7	8	-15	16.6	14.6	2.05	15.0	17.2	-2.26
Nick Young	35	34	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	-6	13	16.3	15.8	0.52	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Mo Williams	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	-7	15	15.7	16.1	-0.41	17.1	15.1	2.00
Kenyon Martin	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	-1	3	16.1	15.9	0.24	16.8	14.8	2.01
Caron Butler	44	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	6	-11	15.4	16.5	-1.07	15.0	16.3	-1.24
DeAndre Jordan	34	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	10	-19	16.0	16.0	0.02	15.7	15.6	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 114, ATL 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.35,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.54,0.45,0.91,1	91.4%
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	91.1%
MIN 93, SEA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	91.0%