NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	109		Excitement	4.1 [777]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +27.6%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	3.1 [134]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -10.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.21	0.05	-0.01	15	81%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	6	86%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	15	58%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Louis Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.08	13	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	7	73%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.02	0.06	11	87%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	12	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	4	70%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.8	30.2	18.7	31.0	2.7	28.2	139.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +46.8%

PHI +9.1%

CHI -5.3%

CHI -1.0%

PHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	17.7	15.6	125.3	105.7	102.8
season	15.6	16.0		101.0	104.7
opponent	15.9	16.1		97.0	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.8	12.7	13.5	18.0	15.4
CHI	17.3	17.3	20.2	16.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	4	9	15.9	11.5	4.47	17.3	20.2	-2.92
Andre Iguodala	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	2	13	14.6	17.0	-2.44	18.6	15.9	2.69
Spencer Hawes	32	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	6	5	15.8	15.1	0.72	17.8	17.7	0.13
Lavoy Allen	46	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	5	7	15.4	15.3	0.07	18.4	17.0	1.39
Jrue Holiday	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	5	7	15.6	14.2	1.32	17.6	18.4	-0.75
Elton Brand	53	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	7	3	15.7	14.8	0.97	16.8	19.3	-2.56
Louis Williams	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	6	5	15.1	15.7	-0.63	18.2	17.1	1.06
Thaddeus Young	43	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	16	-15	14.5	16.2	-1.67	18.2	17.3	0.90
Jodie Meeks	2	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	17	-17	16.0	15.3	0.66	7.0	18.1	-11.13

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	45	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-20	23	16.6	19.0	-2.47	14.7	16.0	-1.34
John Lucas III	49	49	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-16	15	17.4	18.2	-0.73	14.3	16.7	-2.40
Ronnie Brewer	23	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.20	-13	-4	-9	21.3	16.5	4.84	12.2	16.5	-4.33
Joakim Noah	69	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-11	5	16.3	23.3	-6.97	16.4	11.2	5.28
Omer Asik	13	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-10	3	22.6	16.9	5.72	12.5	15.9	-3.31
Carlos Boozer	54	54	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-15	13	16.4	20.0	-3.58	15.7	14.8	0.92
Taj Gibson	33	33	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-2	-13	20.0	16.4	3.58	14.8	15.7	-0.92
Luol Deng	62	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	18.3	16.4	1.83	14.5	17.4	-2.89
Richard Hamilton	38	38	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	-1	-15	18.2	17.4	0.73	16.7	14.3	2.40
CJ Watson	49	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.14	-13	-4	-9	17.2	18.4	-1.15	17.7	12.2	5.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 117, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.45,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
SAC 94, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.8%