NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	5.3 [782]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +16.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Comeback	2.5 [267]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (MIN): -10.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	19	61%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	20	49%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04
Matt Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Erik Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	23	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	55%	0.06	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	8	19%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	11	33%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	25.8	14.6	24.0	2.5	23.3	117.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.3%

SAC +0.5%

SAC +4.0%

SAC +17.6%

MIN -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.5	101.1	90.3	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		108.1	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.5	12.9	21.3	15.4
MIN	15.9	15.5	17.0	13.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	75	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-7	24	16.1	12.4	3.66	16.0	14.1	1.91
Darius Songaila	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-5	20	16.3	12.4	3.91	15.6	15.5	0.03
Matt Barnes	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-4	18	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Brad Miller	88	88	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-4	18	15.2	18.4	-3.17	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Mike Bibby	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-1	12	15.9	12.4	3.50	15.5	16.1	-0.67
Eddie House	13	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	12.4	15.9	-3.50	16.1	15.5	0.67
Greg Ostertag	14	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	13	-16	13.1	15.8	-2.74	16.3	15.4	0.83
Erik Daniels	17	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	14	-18	14.9	15.5	-0.63	16.1	15.4	0.67
Michael Bradley	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	16	-22	14.0	15.6	-1.63	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Kevin Martin	18	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	17	-24	12.4	16.1	-3.66	14.1	16.0	-1.91

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Thomas	17	19	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.07	5	-15	20	13.5	16.0	-2.57	11.5	16.4	-4.93
Michael Olowokandi	11	10	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	16.1	15.5	0.59	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Fred Hoiberg	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-11	12	16.0	15.2	0.73	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Sam Cassell	38	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	14.9	16.0	-1.05	16.5	14.6	1.83
Anthony Carter	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-5	0	19.5	14.9	4.61	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Ervin Johnson	17	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-1	-8	18.5	14.9	3.62	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Troy Hudson	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-8	6	14.9	16.1	-1.21	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Wally Szczerbiak	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-7	4	14.7	20.4	-5.64	15.6	14.0	1.65
Eddie Griffin	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-5	0	15.1	16.4	-1.38	16.2	14.1	2.01
Trenton Hassell	25	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	18.8	14.4	4.42	15.5	15.4	0.14
Kevin Garnett	72	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	15.5	15.8	-0.25	15.9	13.8	2.11
Latrell Sprewell	52	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	1	-12	15.2	16.0	-0.73	15.7	15.0	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 89, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.29,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
UTA 117, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHX 87, GSW 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%