NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	103		Excitement	5.7 [688]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +17.3%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	3.6 [144]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -14.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.01	17	69%	0.25	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	71%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	15	59%	0.13	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Brian Cook	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	63%	0.12	5	-0.12	3	67%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	9	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	85%	0.13	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.08	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.04	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Morris Almond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	13	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	27.6	14.8	27.0	1.8	30.2	131.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +47.7%

ORL +4.6%

UTA -19.0%

ORL +12.8%

ORL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.5	110.8	100.0	106.4
season	15.3	15.3		107.3	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		105.4	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.2	16.2	15.2	17.2	15.9
UTA	13.7	15.1	16.1	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	48	47	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.04	22	-13	35	16.3	15.5	0.80	16.0	13.8	2.23
Rashard Lewis	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-1	11	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.7	13.0	2.73
Jameer Nelson	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	15.7	16.4	-0.67	15.5	13.4	2.12
Hedo Turkoglu	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	7	-5	16.1	15.1	0.94	14.7	15.8	-1.06
Tony Battie	39	39	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	2	5	16.2	15.8	0.39	11.1	17.6	-6.50
Courtney Lee	41	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	15.9	15.9	-0.04	13.7	15.8	-2.11
Marcin Gortat	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	15.8	16.2	-0.39	17.6	11.1	6.50
Anthony Johnson	28	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	16.4	15.7	0.67	13.4	15.5	-2.12
Brian Cook	31	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	15.4	16.2	-0.76	13.5	15.6	-2.15
JJ Redick	14	14	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	17	-25	14.7	16.1	-1.42	15.0	14.9	0.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	62	61	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-18	27	13.6	17.4	-3.83	16.4	15.1	1.31
Matt Harpring	9	9	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-10	11	15.3	14.8	0.50	18.4	15.7	2.79
Kosta Koufos	22	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	12.6	15.6	-2.99	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Brevin Knight	30	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-9	9	13.5	15.5	-2.08	16.4	15.7	0.67
Kyle Korver	59	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-3	-3	13.5	17.3	-3.83	16.5	15.0	1.46
Morris Almond	37	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	3	-15	15.4	14.5	0.86	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Paul Millsap	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	16.0	9.9	6.03	16.0	15.5	0.55
Deron Williams	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	0	-9	15.5	13.5	2.08	15.7	16.4	-0.67
CJ Miles	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	3	-15	16.2	13.6	2.62	14.7	17.2	-2.43
Mehmet Okur	63	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	3	-15	15.6	13.4	2.23	15.8	16.1	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 120, VAN 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
PHI 109, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 110, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.4%