NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	120		Excitement	4.8 [831]		MVP	Hersey Hawkins (SEA): +21.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	108		Comeback	3.8 [614]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (VAN): -16.9%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.06	0.03	7	100%	0.21	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.04	-0.00	12	92%	0.24	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	70%	0.11	4	-0.09	11	55%	-0.06
Dale Ellis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	8	31%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	7	94%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	14	72%	0.16	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	7	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	54%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	41%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.02	10	31%	-0.11	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.7	25.2	18.5	29.8	1.8	25.2	130.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +40.9%

SEA +7.5%

VAN -14.6%

SEA +11.7%

SEA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	VAN	NBA	SEA	VAN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.7	15.6	118.8	106.9	102.5
season	15.3	15.1		109.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	16.2		109.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.5	15.3	12.8	13.9	13.8
VAN	12.2	16.0	16.5	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	83	84	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.03	25	-13	38	14.1	12.6	1.50	15.5	10.6	4.84
Hersey Hawkins	69	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-8	28	14.4	12.6	1.87	14.8	14.5	0.29
David Wingate	53	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	1	10	12.7	15.1	-2.45	15.2	14.2	0.99
Vin Baker	80	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.09	15	-3	18	14.2	12.4	1.84	14.9	13.8	1.02
Gary Payton	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-3	18	13.8	13.9	-0.15	14.8	14.5	0.28
Jim McIlvaine	36	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	7	-2	12.6	14.6	-2.00	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Dale Ellis	54	54	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	5	2	14.1	13.6	0.46	14.8	14.5	0.34
Greg Anthony	34	33	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	15	-18	13.9	13.8	0.15	14.5	14.8	-0.28
Stephen Howard	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	13.5	13.9	-0.37	8.0	15.2	-7.17
Eric Snow	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	8.5	14.1	-5.56	6.3	14.9	-8.60
Sam Perkins	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	11	-10	14.0	13.7	0.26	15.2	14.3	0.87
Aaron Williams	12	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	18	-24	13.1	13.9	-0.86	14.9	14.6	0.28

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blue Edwards	40	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-19	26	15.4	14.2	1.16	14.2	13.6	0.55
George Lynch	45	47	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-15	18	14.6	14.7	-0.05	14.6	13.1	1.49
Lee Mayberry	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	14.4	14.8	-0.36	14.3	13.6	0.72
Otis Thorpe	74	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-10	8	14.7	14.5	0.21	14.4	12.4	2.01
Pete Chilcutt	52	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-1	-10	14.7	14.7	-0.00	12.8	15.0	-2.21
Antonio Daniels	65	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	1	-14	14.8	14.4	0.36	13.6	14.3	-0.72
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-5	-2	14.4	15.5	-1.07	14.0	13.5	0.51
Sam Mack	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	5	-22	14.0	15.7	-1.62	13.4	14.6	-1.14
Bryant Reeves	55	54	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.04	-21	9	-30	15.2	14.1	1.12	13.5	14.2	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	94.0%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.2%