NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	5.4 [762]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +11.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	81		Comeback	1.4 [304]		LVP	Steve Blake (LAL): -19.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.04	0.05	16	65%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	12	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	42%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	10	43%	-0.04	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	12	24%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	10	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.06	0.06	20	51%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	32.3	18.4	23.5	3.3	31.5	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.0%

DAL +11.0%

DAL +3.5%

DAL +4.0%

LAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.9	15.5	106.9	94.2	105.7
season	15.7	15.9		108.5	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.4	17.4	17.3	17.4	17.4
LAL	16.9	16.9	16.1	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-4	20	17.2	18.3	-1.13	15.7	16.7	-0.97
Peja Stojakovic	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	7	-2	17.8	17.0	0.83	16.4	15.5	0.94
Jason Terry	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	0	12	17.5	17.1	0.44	16.1	15.4	0.73
Jason Kidd	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	2	8	18.5	15.1	3.38	16.2	15.3	0.90
Brendan Haywood	30	32	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	2	8	16.3	17.9	-1.61	16.3	15.7	0.61
Jose Juan Barea	33	32	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	9	-6	16.1	18.2	-2.14	15.4	16.2	-0.73
Tyson Chandler	57	54	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	10	-8	17.9	16.3	1.61	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Shawn Marion	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	9	-6	17.3	17.5	-0.18	15.8	16.2	-0.43
DeShawn Stevenson	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	13	-14	16.2	17.9	-1.65	15.2	16.2	-0.92

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-8	4	15.5	16.7	-1.20	18.6	15.1	3.45
Andrew Bynum	65	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-7	2	16.0	15.7	0.30	18.1	15.1	2.96
Matt Barnes	19	20	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-6	0	16.1	15.9	0.20	14.9	18.1	-3.17
Metta World Peace	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	15.9	15.9	0.04	17.9	16.5	1.41
Pau Gasol	59	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-11	10	15.8	16.1	-0.31	17.2	17.8	-0.61
Kobe Bryant	66	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-4	-4	16.1	15.3	0.71	18.4	14.3	4.03
Shannon Brown	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	15.9	15.9	0.03	15.7	18.1	-2.42
Steve Blake	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-8	4	16.1	15.7	0.37	15.6	18.7	-3.17
Lamar Odom	48	48	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	6	-24	15.9	15.9	0.05	16.6	18.3	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 103, NJN 88	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
OKC 116, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 111, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%