NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	5.9 [612]		MVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): +13.7%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.5 [947]		LVP	Evan Eschmeyer (NJN): -19.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.04	18	76%	0.21	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	11	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.04	0	0.00	11	82%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Eldridge Recasner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	9	15%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	18	61%	0.10	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	10	14%	-0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	0.00	10	18%	-0.14	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	27.0	15.8	29.7	1.0	26.2	125.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +45.6%

CHH +5.7%

NJN -6.9%

CHH +13.8%

NJN -8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	15.1	17.0	15.5	115.7	97.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.5		99.7	97.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.2	14.8	15.0	17.7	15.1
NJN	16.1	18.8	18.5	15.1	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	48	50	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.00	24	-9	33	15.6	14.5	1.09	17.1	17.0	0.04
P.J. Brown	68	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.12	22	-7	29	14.7	16.6	-1.96	17.5	15.4	2.05
Jamal Mashburn	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	2	11	14.5	18.6	-4.18	17.4	15.3	2.11
Baron Davis	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	1	13	15.5	13.9	1.56	17.2	16.4	0.82
Elden Campbell	54	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	5	5	15.8	14.1	1.62	16.3	18.2	-1.89
Jamaal Magloire	35	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	10	-5	14.1	15.8	-1.62	18.2	16.3	1.89
Eldridge Recasner	22	22	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	14	-13	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.9	17.7	-2.83
Hersey Hawkins	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	12	-9	16.8	15.0	1.83	18.0	17.0	1.02
Tim James	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	23.3	14.8	8.50	5.3	17.4	-12.11
Derrick Coleman	18	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	20	-25	15.5	15.0	0.47	17.2	17.0	0.24
David Wesley	46	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.07	-10	25	-35	14.9	15.3	-0.44	17.1	17.0	0.04

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	27	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-14	13	16.1	17.5	-1.39	17.4	14.1	3.31
Soumaila Samake	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	5.3	17.4	-12.11	23.3	14.8	8.50
Stephen Jackson	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	11.2	17.5	-6.30	23.8	14.6	9.19
Vladimir Stepania	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-15	15	13.5	17.3	-3.80	17.2	15.0	2.20
Mark Strickland	35	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-16	17	17.1	17.0	0.07	16.0	14.6	1.47
Evan Eschmeyer	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-10	5	17.2	16.6	0.65	14.7	16.0	-1.26
Aaron Williams	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-3	-9	17.5	16.8	0.73	15.8	14.8	1.07
Johnny Newman	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-1	-13	17.5	15.5	1.98	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Doug Overton	63	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	-1	-13	17.5	16.1	1.39	14.1	17.4	-3.31
Keith Van Horn	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	0	-15	17.4	14.6	2.84	14.7	18.1	-3.39
Lucious Harris	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.10	-15	0	-15	17.1	16.9	0.12	14.4	17.9	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, LAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	94.2%
GSW 116, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%