NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	72		Excitement	3.7 [1114]		MVP	Daequan Cook (OKC): +7.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Comeback	1.7 [935]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -15.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	9	28%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Sam Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.05	13	31%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	16	28%	-0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.20	0.01	0.14	7	112%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	8	56%	0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	45%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	5	8%	-0.05	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.5	30.4	18.4	32.6	3.4	31.3	144.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +34.3%

OKC +9.0%

OKC +10.1%

MEM -4.4%

OKC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	OKC	NBA	MEM	OKC	NBA
this game	15.1	16.5	15.5	78.3	110.0	105.7
season	15.5	15.0		106.1	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.4	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	15.5	15.0	13.5	15.1
OKC	14.8	15.8	18.6	17.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-27	27	12.1	15.4	-3.28	16.8	16.5	0.26
Leon Powe	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-22	17	14.4	15.2	-0.86	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Hamed Haddadi	13	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-23	19	12.6	15.5	-2.92	18.3	16.2	2.15
Sam Young	41	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-24	21	16.4	14.1	2.29	15.6	17.3	-1.69
Greivis Vasquez	31	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-22	17	14.2	15.6	-1.35	17.4	16.1	1.28
Shane Battier	30	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-17	7	14.3	15.5	-1.22	18.3	15.8	2.45
Darrell Arthur	27	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-18	9	15.2	15.1	0.15	18.2	15.9	2.24
Zach Randolph	72	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.08	-12	-15	3	15.1	15.3	-0.29	16.5	16.6	-0.10
Tony Allen	51	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-10	-7	15.8	14.3	1.45	15.7	17.6	-1.88
O.J. Mayo	54	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.33	-24	-3	-21	14.4	16.1	-1.63	17.2	15.8	1.39
Mike Conley	61	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-5	-17	15.6	14.2	1.35	16.1	17.4	-1.28
Marc Gasol	61	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.22	-24	-3	-21	15.8	13.7	2.08	15.5	18.5	-2.91

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	50	53	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.36	29	-2	31	16.4	16.7	-0.37	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Kevin Durant	57	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.09	19	8	11	15.8	17.8	-1.92	15.4	14.6	0.76
Serge Ibaka	39	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.03	15	12	3	16.1	16.9	-0.87	17.1	13.6	3.46
Kendrick Perkins	43	43	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	17	-7	15.6	17.4	-1.80	17.3	13.2	4.01
Russell Westbrook	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	14	-1	15.4	17.7	-2.31	17.0	13.2	3.76
Eric Maynor	44	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.22	14	13	1	17.7	15.4	2.31	13.2	17.0	-3.76
Nazr Mohammed	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.30	15	12	3	17.3	15.9	1.43	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Nick Collison	47	49	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.25	13	14	-1	17.1	16.0	1.13	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Thabo Sefolosha	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	29	-31	17.1	16.3	0.77	17.3	14.1	3.25
Daequan Cook	35	35	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	18	-9	17.4	16.0	1.45	14.5	15.5	-0.93
Royal Ivey	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	16.8	16.5	0.26	12.1	15.4	-3.28
Nate Robinson	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	27	-27	16.8	16.5	0.26	12.1	15.4	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, LAL 132	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
GSW 92, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
DET 88, MIL 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%