NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	73		Excitement	5.0 [842]		MVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): +13.5%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.3 [1156]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -16.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.14	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	0.00	14	37%	-0.05	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Al Horford	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	12	25%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	8	79%	0.11	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.03	9	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	0.00	-0.02	27	42%	0.01	8	-0.18	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.1	30.2	17.7	25.0	3.6	31.3	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.4%

ATL -2.8%

CHI +19.1%

CHI +0.6%

ATL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.5	83.9	96.6	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		104.0	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		99.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.4	17.8	16.9	17.9	17.2
CHI	14.2	15.7	15.9	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	10.0	17.4	-7.39	21.0	15.5	5.53
Pape Sy	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	10.0	17.4	-7.39	21.0	15.5	5.53
Hilton Armstrong	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-12	11	10.0	17.4	-7.39	21.0	15.5	5.53
Jason Collins	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-12	11	18.0	17.2	0.84	11.0	15.9	-4.91
Zaza Pachulia	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-9	5	17.5	17.2	0.29	17.5	15.2	2.34
Damien Wilkins	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-7	1	16.7	17.3	-0.64	16.9	15.3	1.58
Josh Smith	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-9	5	16.8	18.5	-1.78	16.2	13.6	2.59
Marvin Williams	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	17.2	17.2	-0.05	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Joe Johnson	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-6	-1	17.3	16.7	0.54	15.8	13.7	2.06
Jeff Teague	73	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	-6	-1	17.0	18.4	-1.44	15.3	16.7	-1.41
Jamal Crawford	59	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-4	-5	18.2	15.1	3.17	15.9	14.7	1.13
Al Horford	80	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	0	-13	17.5	13.9	3.66	15.0	21.3	-6.25

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	80	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-1	15	15.0	20.2	-5.22	17.4	15.7	1.62
Luol Deng	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-1	15	15.3	20.0	-4.68	17.3	15.7	1.61
Joakim Noah	72	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	1	11	15.6	15.4	0.22	17.4	16.3	1.15
Carlos Boozer	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	7	-1	15.6	15.4	0.19	17.8	16.0	1.78
Kyle Korver	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	2	9	15.3	15.6	-0.31	17.7	16.9	0.82
Taj Gibson	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	6	1	15.4	15.6	-0.19	16.0	17.8	-1.78
Keith Bogans	34	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	12	-11	15.6	15.5	0.19	16.7	17.5	-0.84
CJ Watson	14	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	18.9	14.9	4.04	17.6	17.2	0.42
Kurt Thomas	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	12	-11	13.2	15.9	-2.63	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Ronnie Brewer	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	13	-13	16.2	15.3	0.93	16.2	17.5	-1.32
Omer Asik	5	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	13	-13	20.4	15.2	5.16	15.8	17.3	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 83, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.93,1,1,1	95.0%
DET 111, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.94,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	94.9%
BOS 78, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%