NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	10.2 [53]		MVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): +57.6%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	7.2 [126]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (UTA): -31.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.54	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.54	0.13	0.41	-0.00	13	69%	0.57	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.02,0.29	0.14	0.17	0.02	24	62%	0.38	2	-0.09	8	75%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.02	0.18	-0.00	6	50%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	13	71%	0.29	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	12	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.58,0.58	0.58	0.24	0.34	0.00	10	115%	0.63	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.13	0.01	13	70%	0.34	4	-0.11	14	93%	0.11
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	65%	0.16	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.17	-0.01	16	41%	-0.12	1	-0.08	2	0%	-0.10
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.24	-0.02	11	32%	-0.18	2	-0.13	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	3.7	32.5	19.8	28.0	2.8	42.6	157.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.8%

UTA -8.4%

UTA -8.7%

LAL +11.7%

LAL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	17.1	15.2	15.3	124.7	123.6	106.0
season	15.7	15.3		107.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.2	14.5	17.0	18.1	17.1
UTA	15.1	15.5	17.2	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	51	47	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.51	6	-5	11	17.4	16.8	0.67	14.0	16.6	-2.66
Derek Fisher	67	67	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.50	4	-3	7	17.2	17.0	0.19	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Pau Gasol	79	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.44	4	-3	7	17.2	17.0	0.16	14.9	17.4	-2.45
Metta World Peace	70	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	2	-3	17.6	15.3	2.33	15.5	13.9	1.65
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	17.4	15.0	2.36	15.2	15.7	-0.59
Josh Powell	2	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	0	1	5.0	17.4	-12.43	24.7	14.9	9.78
Andrew Bynum	35	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	7	-13	17.9	16.7	1.17	16.6	14.2	2.36
Jordan Farmar	22	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	4	-7	17.0	17.2	-0.19	15.4	15.2	0.20
Shannon Brown	38	38	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.15	-1	2	-3	15.3	18.5	-3.15	14.8	15.5	-0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	22	21	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-6	11	16.9	14.7	2.25	15.9	17.5	-1.62
Andrei Kirilenko	31	34	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.23	-7	6	-13	15.8	14.9	0.91	15.8	18.0	-2.24
Kyrylo Fesenko	22	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	16.4	14.8	1.53	17.1	17.1	-0.00
CJ Miles	41	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-4	7	15.7	14.8	0.83	17.4	16.9	0.49
Kyle Korver	46	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-2	3	13.9	16.6	-2.74	17.3	17.0	0.30
Paul Millsap	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	3	-7	14.9	16.1	-1.22	17.0	17.6	-0.59
Wesley Matthews	71	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-3	5	15.2	15.4	-0.22	17.3	16.7	0.58
Carlos Boozer	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.61	1	-2	3	15.6	12.7	2.95	17.7	13.7	4.04
Deron Williams	68	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	5	-11	14.5	17.5	-3.02	17.3	16.6	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.55,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.71,0.73,0	91.9%
CHI 88, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.84,0	91.1%
NYK 90, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.82,0	90.6%