NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Excitement	1.9 [1297]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +19.1%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.0 [747]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -9.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.25	0.02	0.08	22	72%	0.21	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	15	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	86%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	78%	0.05	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamario Moon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	4	137%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	11	76%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	71%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	67%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	17	53%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	15	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.7	31.2	19.6	27.8	2.8	37.0	151.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +35.1%

CLE +9.9%

CLE +10.0%

BOS -5.5%

CLE +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	16.3	15.3	139.3	108.0	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.4	17.9	18.7	16.8	16.2
BOS	17.0	17.3	17.3	13.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.41	30	-1	31	16.1	16.9	-0.81	16.9	14.1	2.84
Antawn Jamison	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	2	25	15.3	17.6	-2.31	17.3	14.8	2.57
Anthony Parker	62	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.33	24	5	19	16.4	15.9	0.54	16.9	15.0	1.99
Mo Williams	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.28	21	8	13	16.4	15.7	0.69	16.2	16.5	-0.26
Shaquille O'Neal	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.34	22	7	15	16.4	16.1	0.35	17.8	15.0	2.83
Delonte West	55	55	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	15	-1	16.6	15.6	0.93	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Anderson Varejao	31	31	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	18	-7	15.9	16.4	-0.49	16.4	16.3	0.16
JJ Hickson	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	32	-35	17.6	15.5	2.13	14.2	17.5	-3.25
Jamario Moon	15	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	26	-23	14.7	16.5	-1.79	14.8	16.7	-1.84
Daniel Gibson	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	16.2	16.2	-0.05	12.5	16.8	-4.31
Leon Powe	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	31	-33	16.2	16.2	-0.05	12.5	16.8	-4.31

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	14	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-29	29	12.5	17.0	-4.54	15.9	16.3	-0.35
Shelden Williams	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-31	33	12.2	17.0	-4.71	16.2	16.2	-0.07
Nate Robinson	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-31	33	14.3	17.0	-2.79	17.8	15.6	2.15
Michael Finley	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-27	25	15.8	16.4	-0.55	15.2	16.4	-1.13
Tony Allen	33	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-21	13	15.2	17.0	-1.77	15.5	16.7	-1.27
Rasheed Wallace	28	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-22	15	16.4	16.3	0.06	16.3	16.2	0.16
Glen Davis	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-18	7	15.0	17.3	-2.32	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Kendrick Perkins	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.28	-19	-10	-9	17.8	15.2	2.54	16.1	16.3	-0.17
Kevin Garnett	51	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.24	-20	-9	-11	17.5	14.8	2.69	17.0	15.1	1.88
Paul Pierce	64	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.40	-27	-2	-25	16.9	14.8	2.10	16.7	15.0	1.65
Rajon Rondo	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.39	-28	-1	-27	16.7	15.3	1.41	16.3	16.0	0.31
Ray Allen	62	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.35	-27	-2	-25	17.4	13.7	3.67	15.9	17.1	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 122, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAS 113, OKC 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
WAS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%