NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	113		Excitement	2.1 [1280]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +13.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	88		Comeback	1.1 [1101]		LVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): -5.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.14	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.00	0.02	15	81%	0.16	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.05	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	42%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	18%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	7	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	16	47%	-0.00	4	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	11	38%	-0.01	4	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	30.1	16.8	28.0	3.5	27.6	136.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.8%

SAS +0.0%

OKC -1.7%

SAS +1.7%

SAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	13.1	15.1	114.1	90.7	104.2
season	15.4	14.5		106.9	105.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		103.5	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.4	18.0	14.3	18.8	16.2
OKC	12.7	12.0	13.9	14.0	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.32	26	-1	27	15.7	16.9	-1.21	13.6	12.6	0.95
Manu Ginobili	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.38	25	0	25	15.1	16.9	-1.79	14.4	12.4	2.08
Tim Duncan	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	3	19	16.6	15.8	0.80	11.4	15.0	-3.63
Kawhi Leonard	54	52	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	8	9	16.6	15.7	0.94	11.6	14.9	-3.36
Aron Baynes	47	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	5	15	14.0	18.2	-4.15	14.4	12.0	2.44
Tony Parker	37	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.12	13	12	1	16.0	16.4	-0.35	11.2	14.2	-3.03
Cory Joseph	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.22	15	10	5	16.5	16.1	0.40	13.2	13.1	0.14
Danny Green	38	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.06	7	18	-11	16.2	16.3	-0.10	11.5	14.1	-2.62
Marco Belinelli	49	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	24	-23	15.8	16.6	-0.80	14.5	11.8	2.66
Patty Mills	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	29	-33	15.9	16.4	-0.49	15.2	11.8	3.37
Jeff Ayres	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	31	-37	18.8	15.5	3.28	14.0	12.9	1.06
Matt Bonner	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	31	-37	19.1	15.5	3.57	13.1	13.1	-0.03
Reggie Williams	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	18.8	15.5	3.22	13.3	13.1	0.27

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	17	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-33	41	12.9	13.2	-0.23	19.7	15.4	4.28
Jeremy Lamb	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-32	39	13.7	13.0	0.71	18.0	15.6	2.32
Perry Jones	28	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-30	35	14.7	12.5	2.22	17.2	15.8	1.43
Andre Roberson	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.16	-10	-15	5	15.0	12.0	2.92	15.0	16.9	-1.88
D.J. Augustin	40	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-20	15	15.5	11.5	4.03	15.8	16.6	-0.80
Enes Kanter	52	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	-15	5	12.1	14.4	-2.32	16.6	15.8	0.87
Mitch McGary	35	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-17	9	14.6	12.3	2.34	16.9	15.8	1.16
Dion Waiters	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.23	-17	-8	-9	11.5	15.7	-4.15	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Kyle Singler	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.24	-18	-7	-11	11.0	14.1	-3.09	16.6	16.0	0.60
Anthony Morrow	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.31	-21	-4	-17	14.3	11.9	2.40	14.5	18.0	-3.53
Russell Westbrook	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.23	-20	-5	-15	11.5	15.5	-4.03	16.6	15.8	0.80
Steven Adams	55	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.54	-36	11	-47	12.9	13.5	-0.56	15.2	17.6	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
CLE 124, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
PHX 108, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%