inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 67 Excitement2.0 [1280] MVPJose Juan Barea (DAL): +9.4%
Dallas Mavericks 88 Comeback1.0 [1082] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -10.2%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01658%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.03444%0.021-0.0010%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00544%-0.0000.00650%-0.01
Fabricio Oberto-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05571%-0.0010.004100%0.00
George Hill-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.090.01-0.081033%0.012-0.024100%-0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03350%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kurt Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02367%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.051223%-0.051-0.012100%-0.00
Tim Duncan-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02922%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Tony Parker-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.001437%-0.043-0.06450%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.00-0.02872%0.0910.002100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.031271%0.111-0.024100%0.01
Josh Howard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.031261%0.061-0.024100%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.06837%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03362%0.0000.0020%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.04762%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.00150%0.001-0.0220%-0.02
Jason Kidd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.02625%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02956%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.428.115.822.32.327.5123.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +38.3%
DAL +6.5%
DAL +5.3%
SAS -1.1%
DAL +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDALNBASASDALNBA
this game16.615.215.574.496.7106.4
season16.415.6106.6108.9
opponent15.415.7107.1103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.618.519.514.316.6
DAL12.015.814.819.015.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jacque Vaughn28290.02-0.520.53-0.3312-334516.016.9-0.8717.714.13.66
Fabricio Oberto2728-0.01-0.490.49-0.248-293715.916.9-1.0219.513.36.17
Bruce Bowen4445-0.03-0.470.45-0.206-273315.018.1-3.0917.812.75.04
George Hill4143-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-273316.117.0-0.8817.513.24.32
Drew Gooden4949-0.03-0.470.43-0.216-273315.418.0-2.5715.714.70.96
Kurt Thomas3334-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-171316.216.8-0.6116.114.71.42
Ime Udoka4546-0.18-0.320.150.03-7-14716.716.50.2216.014.51.51
Roger Mason Jr.3332-0.35-0.15-0.190.36-243-2718.415.62.8312.716.6-3.97
Matt Bonner4140-0.35-0.15-0.200.32-232-2517.016.30.7313.216.8-3.58
Michael Finley3434-0.43-0.07-0.350.31-254-2917.616.01.5412.416.9-4.45
Tim Duncan3031-0.46-0.04-0.420.39-298-3719.015.43.6512.316.7-4.46
Tony Parker4544-0.510.01-0.520.40-3110-4116.816.40.4012.018.3-6.26

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Juan Barea64620.52-0.020.53-0.5436-155114.117.9-3.8317.414.92.43
Erick Dampier44420.51-0.010.52-0.5837-165314.016.4-2.4318.415.13.29
Dirk Nowitzki52520.420.080.34-0.4329-83713.617.4-3.8117.115.91.13
Jason Kidd53520.380.120.25-0.3926-53113.717.3-3.6317.115.91.27
Josh Howard51530.340.160.19-0.4527-63313.916.9-3.0216.816.40.38
Jason Terry45450.200.30-0.100.08417-1315.215.3-0.1016.716.50.22
Brandon Bass39400.130.37-0.24-0.02516-1115.215.2-0.0016.616.6-0.00
Antoine Wright33320.060.44-0.380.35-1031-4117.813.83.9616.316.8-0.45
Ryan Hollins25240.000.50-0.500.32-1132-4317.714.33.3815.716.9-1.16
Matt Carroll16150.000.50-0.500.32-1132-4320.614.16.4713.217.3-4.08
Gerald Green11110.000.50-0.500.26-930-3920.214.55.6314.116.9-2.86
James Singleton2222-0.060.56-0.620.47-1839-5718.814.14.7313.017.7-4.70


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 86, ATL 1130.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
VAN 92, ATL 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
PHX 113, HOU 1490.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%