NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	92		Excitement	2.6 [1180]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +7.1%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	1.1 [1219]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -9.7%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	6	74%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Bryant Reeves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	0.00	-0.07	16	47%	-0.00	7	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.01	0.07	10	91%	0.08	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	12	42%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	41%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	2.5	22.9	16.8	24.4	2.4	26.4	127.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.4%

ATL +0.1%

VAN -7.1%

ATL +22.0%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	ATL	NBA	VAN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.6	93.9	117.3	102.5
season	15.1	16.1		101.3	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.3		101.5	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.7	15.2	18.2	13.1	15.2
ATL	11.6	14.2	14.5	16.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Hurley	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-35	47	11.1	16.0	-4.95	16.8	13.7	3.14
Lee Mayberry	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.22	-10	-13	3	14.7	15.5	-0.72	15.4	13.4	1.98
Blue Edwards	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-26	29	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.9	13.0	2.90
George Lynch	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.18	3	-26	29	14.6	15.6	-1.06	15.9	13.1	2.80
Pete Chilcutt	41	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-17	11	14.0	16.1	-2.07	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Michael Smith	35	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-22	21	14.6	15.5	-0.94	15.2	13.7	1.46
Tony Massenburg	38	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.49	-26	3	-29	17.2	13.9	3.32	14.0	14.3	-0.34
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-9	-5	14.6	16.9	-2.27	13.9	15.2	-1.35
Sam Mack	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.42	-29	6	-35	16.0	14.4	1.67	13.4	15.0	-1.63
Antonio Daniels	55	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-1	-21	16.1	14.1	1.94	12.0	16.8	-4.80
Bryant Reeves	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.30	-25	2	-27	16.1	13.3	2.76	13.2	16.2	-2.97

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	49	49	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.37	29	-6	35	13.0	15.4	-2.37	16.2	14.2	2.04
Tyrone Corbin	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.40	29	-6	35	12.8	16.3	-3.53	16.2	13.7	2.48
Mookie Blaylock	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-5	33	12.8	16.3	-3.53	16.2	13.7	2.48
Steven Smith	63	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	1	21	13.7	15.1	-1.36	15.5	14.6	0.94
Alan Henderson	62	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.42	24	-1	25	13.6	15.1	-1.51	16.0	13.8	2.21
Christian Laettner	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	13	-3	16.7	12.9	3.82	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Chucky Brown	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	15	-7	15.4	13.3	2.06	15.6	14.9	0.63
Drew Barry	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.19	-5	28	-33	16.3	12.8	3.53	13.7	16.2	-2.48
Greg Anderson	22	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	28	-33	10.9	15.1	-4.22	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Brian Oliver	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	29	-35	16.8	13.5	3.35	12.7	15.8	-3.15
Chris Crawford	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	35	-47	16.8	13.7	3.14	11.1	16.0	-4.95
Anthony Miller	27	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	30	-37	16.0	13.5	2.51	13.3	15.9	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ORL 86, ATL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
PHX 71, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%