NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	93		Excitement	4.2 [994]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +18.5%
Denver Nuggets	108		Comeback	1.2 [1022]		LVP	David West (NOH): -13.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	9	81%	0.13	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	100%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Devin Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	7	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01
David West	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.04	0.05	20	49%	-0.07	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.26	0.01	0.08	15	76%	0.18	0	0.00	11	100%	0.06
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	5	92%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	20	55%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	32.6	19.8	26.1	3.4	26.6	141.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +25.0%

NOH -6.4%

DEN +7.8%

DEN +20.0%

DEN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DEN	NBA	NOH	DEN	NBA
this game	16.9	16.1	15.5	105.7	124.1	106.4
season	16.6	14.4		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.1	17.5	17.8	16.1	16.9
DEN	15.9	13.8	18.2	16.6	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-21	27	16.7	16.9	-0.13	14.9	16.3	-1.37
Sean Marks	15	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.20	6	-21	27	16.3	17.0	-0.71	15.3	16.2	-0.96
Hilton Armstrong	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-15	15	15.6	17.0	-1.35	18.1	15.9	2.27
James Posey	48	45	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-15	15	16.4	17.4	-0.96	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Antonio Daniels	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-15	15	17.1	16.8	0.32	13.9	16.7	-2.77
Julian Wright	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-13	11	16.2	17.0	-0.79	13.5	16.6	-3.05
David West	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	-2	-11	17.0	16.2	0.79	16.6	13.5	3.05
Chris Paul	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	0	-15	16.8	17.1	-0.32	16.7	13.9	2.77
Peja Stojakovic	52	52	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	17.2	16.3	0.88	16.2	15.9	0.34
Tyson Chandler	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.18	-21	6	-27	17.1	16.0	1.09	16.0	16.3	-0.30
Rasual Butler	60	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.20	-25	10	-35	16.9	16.7	0.20	16.7	14.6	2.12

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	53	52	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-1	17	16.2	15.8	0.38	18.0	15.2	2.81
Chauncey Billups	62	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	4	7	16.5	14.9	1.65	16.8	17.1	-0.32
Chris Andersen	50	52	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	-3	21	14.6	18.1	-3.52	16.9	16.7	0.17
Anthony Carter	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	3	9	14.5	17.4	-2.84	17.2	16.6	0.64
Linas Kleiza	18	17	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.09	6	9	-3	12.4	17.0	-4.56	17.2	16.8	0.47
Kenyon Martin	56	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	7	1	16.9	14.5	2.34	16.7	17.2	-0.58
Carmelo Anthony	64	66	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	7	1	16.8	13.9	2.97	16.7	17.2	-0.50
Dahntay Jones	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	15	-15	17.7	14.9	2.75	16.6	17.0	-0.47
J.R. Smith	48	49	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	9	-3	16.0	16.2	-0.22	16.5	17.3	-0.73
Jason Hart	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	17.5	16.0	1.48	11.0	17.0	-5.99
Johan Petro	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	17.8	15.9	1.91	12.6	17.1	-4.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MEM 102, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.3%