NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	4.2 [950]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	94		Comeback	1.2 [1009]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -18.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.05	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Luther Head	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	44%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	11	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	10	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	13	39%	-0.04	7	-0.15	5	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	87%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	16	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	55%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	31.6	17.3	25.4	1.8	32.2	136.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.1%

DET +6.7%

DET +12.1%

DET +7.4%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DET	NBA	HOU	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.9	15.4	91.1	106.8	105.7
season	16.2	16.8		104.6	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.3	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.3	15.9	15.6	14.0	15.5
DET	15.7	16.8	15.7	19.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	10.9	15.9	-5.03	17.2	16.9	0.34
Mike James	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-19	26	13.3	15.9	-2.61	19.5	16.3	3.15
Aaron Brooks	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-15	18	14.8	15.8	-0.95	19.6	15.5	4.11
Dikembe Mutombo	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-14	16	14.2	16.2	-2.06	18.4	16.0	2.36
Bonzi Wells	26	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-5	-2	16.4	15.1	1.31	19.3	16.0	3.35
Tracy McGrady	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-5	-2	16.1	15.0	1.10	14.8	18.5	-3.75
Charles Hayes	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.4	1.91	16.5	17.4	-0.97
Luther Head	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.7	15.2	0.52	17.0	16.9	0.08
Luis Scola	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-7	2	14.2	16.8	-2.60	17.6	16.2	1.35
Shane Battier	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	0	-12	15.7	15.2	0.49	16.3	17.4	-1.13
Yao Ming	50	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.02	-12	0	-12	16.6	14.0	2.67	15.8	18.4	-2.63
Rafer Alston	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	3	-18	15.8	14.8	0.95	15.5	19.6	-4.11

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	58	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.14	26	-14	40	15.6	19.4	-3.81	16.6	13.3	3.25
Antonio McDyess	57	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-8	28	15.5	19.5	-3.91	16.8	13.1	3.69
Richard Hamilton	54	55	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.09	21	-9	30	16.2	18.0	-1.81	16.7	13.4	3.32
Rasheed Wallace	54	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	-3	18	16.2	18.0	-1.76	15.8	14.9	0.83
Tayshaun Prince	53	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	0	12	16.8	17.1	-0.37	16.2	14.3	1.87
Jarvis Hayes	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	12	-12	17.1	16.8	0.37	14.3	16.2	-1.87
Jason Maxiell	33	35	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	5	2	18.3	16.1	2.16	15.5	15.5	0.00
Amir Johnson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	18.4	16.7	1.65	12.0	15.9	-3.94
Arron Afflalo	34	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	21	-30	18.0	16.2	1.81	13.4	16.7	-3.32
Lindsey Hunter	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	14	-16	19.3	16.6	2.69	15.9	15.4	0.46
Primoz Brezec	21	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.24	-11	23	-34	19.5	16.1	3.42	12.8	16.3	-3.51
Rodney Stuckey	21	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.26	-12	24	-36	19.5	16.1	3.36	12.4	16.5	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, NOH 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHX 76, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 79, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%