NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	78		Excitement	5.1 [813]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +7.4%
Orlando Magic	91		Comeback	1.4 [1134]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -16.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	17	55%	0.16	4	-0.09	13	77%	-0.01
Willie Green	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.03	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.08	-0.06	0.03	15	49%	-0.05	5	-0.12	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	16	69%	0.11	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	14	50%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.11	0.07	-0.04	14	30%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.03	14	60%	0.08	4	-0.11	12	67%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.8	33.2	15.8	31.2	2.7	36.2	147.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.9%

PHI -6.1%

ORL +25.9%

ORL +4.3%

ORL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	89.7	104.6	106.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.0	17.3	16.5	15.3	16.5
ORL	15.7	15.5	17.0	18.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-12	11	15.9	17.0	-1.14	15.9	17.1	-1.19
Samuel Dalembert	32	35	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-14	15	17.2	16.1	1.16	18.8	15.1	3.70
Royal Ivey	11	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-8	3	17.5	16.4	1.07	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Donyell Marshall	17	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-7	1	16.6	16.5	0.16	13.0	17.3	-4.33
Reggie Evans	7	7	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-8	3	19.6	16.2	3.32	13.7	16.8	-3.12
Lou Williams	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-7	1	18.1	15.7	2.33	15.5	17.2	-1.71
Andre Miller	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	16.4	18.0	-1.61	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Willie Green	65	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-4	-5	16.0	18.1	-2.11	17.1	15.0	2.06
Thaddeus Young	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	16.2	17.7	-1.51	17.0	14.7	2.24
Andre Iguodala	86	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	0	-13	16.4	30.0	-13.64	16.6	14.0	2.65

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	73	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-3	19	16.2	18.4	-2.20	16.8	14.9	1.98
JJ Redick	54	53	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	2	9	17.6	14.9	2.70	15.2	18.6	-3.40
Mickael Pietrus	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.06	10	3	7	15.7	17.9	-2.17	17.3	15.3	1.96
Rafer Alston	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	4	5	16.5	16.7	-0.19	15.9	18.1	-2.25
Dwight Howard	67	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	17.0	15.2	1.80	16.8	15.5	1.31
Marcin Gortat	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	9	-5	16.7	16.6	0.10	16.4	16.5	-0.12
Rashard Lewis	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	10	-7	16.9	15.2	1.68	16.3	17.5	-1.23
Anthony Johnson	25	25	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	9	-5	16.7	16.5	0.19	18.1	15.9	2.25
Courtney Lee	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	13	-13	13.7	17.0	-3.29	16.7	16.5	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.64,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 81, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	94.5%
LAL 90, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%
LAL 106, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%