NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.0 [831]		MVP	Dwight Howard (LAL): +17.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	116		Comeback	1.3 [542]		LVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): -11.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	15	67%	0.22	3	-0.04	19	79%	0.03
Steve Blake	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	20	64%	0.12	7	-0.16	7	86%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.05	14	53%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Ebanks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.10	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.01	0.02	11	79%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	16	67%	0.20	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	4	78%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	10	57%	0.07	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	20	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	17	55%	0.02	6	-0.10	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.5	31.9	15.7	29.6	2.4	32.5	143.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.2%

POR +4.8%

LAL -11.1%

POR +35.3%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.4	111.6	119.6	104.1
season	14.9	15.8		106.0	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	15.9	15.6	16.0	15.8
POR	13.0	13.0	14.4	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	65	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-20	30	15.2	17.3	-2.08	14.7	13.1	1.63
Steve Nash	36	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-10	10	14.5	16.6	-2.12	13.3	14.7	-1.39
Robert Sacre	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-6	2	10.5	16.0	-5.46	18.0	14.1	3.86
Devin Ebanks	22	25	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-5	0	18.2	15.1	3.04	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Kobe Bryant	80	81	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.37	9	-19	28	15.1	19.9	-4.78	14.0	15.2	-1.29
Pau Gasol	78	80	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-16	22	15.9	15.6	0.31	14.5	12.8	1.71
Steve Blake	52	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.27	3	-13	16	16.5	15.0	1.50	14.2	14.1	0.18
Chris Duhon	7	6	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	3	-16	17.6	15.7	1.87	18.7	13.9	4.79
Jodie Meeks	9	8	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	3	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.19	17.7	13.9	3.90
Dwight Howard	84	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-8	6	15.3	19.6	-4.29	13.8	17.3	-3.48
Antawn Jamison	24	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	11	-32	18.0	15.1	2.89	14.3	14.1	0.21
Jordan Hill	16	16	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	10	-30	18.9	15.2	3.72	11.5	14.7	-3.20

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-6	22	14.2	14.2	-0.05	15.9	15.8	0.10
Meyers Leonard	47	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-6	22	14.0	14.3	-0.26	17.1	14.8	2.28
LaMarcus Aldridge	82	80	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.33	2	8	-6	13.8	16.3	-2.55	15.2	19.5	-4.30
Sasha Pavlovic	35	34	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	-3	16	14.2	14.2	-0.01	17.6	14.9	2.72
Wesley Matthews	74	72	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	5	0	14.4	13.4	1.03	15.9	15.7	0.19
Nicolas Batum	84	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	10	-10	13.9	15.8	-1.93	15.2	19.8	-4.64
Jared Jeffries	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.12	8	2	6	16.3	13.8	2.55	19.5	15.2	4.30
JJ Hickson	50	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	16	-22	14.3	14.0	0.26	14.8	17.1	-2.28
Nolan Smith	29	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	14	-18	14.3	14.1	0.24	15.4	16.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHI 87, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%