NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	5.4 [783]		MVP	Marcus Morris (BOS): +14.4%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	1.3 [972]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): -13.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	83%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	21	49%	0.07	5	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	17	47%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.01	0.03	14	49%	-0.02	3	-0.04	11	45%	-0.08
Landry Shamet	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dario Saric	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	12	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	17	59%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	55%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	12	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	7	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	-0.04	14	23%	-0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	3.5	24.6	16.4	28.4	3.5	34.3	139.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.3%

BOS +3.4%

BOS +9.2%

BOS +6.9%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	12.9	14.2	14.3	82.1	98.1	109.3
season	14.0	13.9		110.9	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.1		106.3	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	10.5	13.4	15.0	13.1	12.9
BOS	14.0	13.8	14.4	14.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	11.3	12.9	-1.58	13.2	14.2	-0.95
Jonah Bolden	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	11.3	12.9	-1.58	13.2	14.2	-0.95
Amir Johnson	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-8	-2	14.7	12.3	2.39	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Landry Shamet	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-10	2	15.5	12.1	3.42	14.1	14.2	-0.07
Ben Simmons	97	96	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-10	2	12.5	17.2	-4.76	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Dario Saric	51	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-14	10	12.3	13.4	-1.14	14.5	13.9	0.64
T.J. McConnell	46	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	-7	-4	14.0	12.0	1.92	14.8	13.6	1.17
Joel Embiid	83	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-10	2	12.3	14.7	-2.39	14.6	12.8	1.77
JJ Redick	67	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-8	-2	12.3	13.9	-1.63	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Robert Covington	77	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-7	-4	13.0	12.6	0.44	13.9	14.7	-0.72
Markelle Fultz	55	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-2	-14	12.8	13.0	-0.22	13.9	14.4	-0.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.25	22	-4	26	14.7	13.6	1.04	13.8	11.9	1.91
Gordon Hayward	53	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	8	2	14.8	13.5	1.35	13.3	12.4	0.84
Aron Baynes	43	40	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	10	-2	15.0	13.6	1.31	13.5	12.5	1.06
Kyrie Irving	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	9	0	13.6	15.1	-1.57	12.3	13.8	-1.58
Jaylen Brown	65	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	7	4	13.5	15.3	-1.80	12.6	13.3	-0.73
Al Horford	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	9	0	13.7	15.0	-1.31	12.6	13.5	-0.91
Marcus Morris	45	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	15	-12	13.9	14.4	-0.52	12.7	13.0	-0.30
Jayson Tatum	65	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	12	-6	14.6	13.5	1.06	12.5	13.4	-0.93
Marcus Smart	55	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	15	-12	14.6	13.7	0.85	13.1	12.7	0.39
Daniel Theis	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	15	-12	13.3	14.2	-0.91	13.5	12.8	0.68
Brad Wanamaker	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.5	14.2	-0.68	19.0	12.8	6.19
Guerschon Yabusele	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.2	14.2	-0.95	11.3	12.9	-1.58
Semi Ojeleye	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	13.2	14.2	-0.95	11.3	12.9	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 98, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAL 106, POR 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.71,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 92, MIA 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%